Dr. Saturday - NCAAF

I'm away most of this week at the Yahoo(!) compound (which, like, Xanadu), so I didn't get the live feed of the Senate Judiciary Committee's much-anticipated inquisition of the BCS on Tuesday afternoon, wherein Utah Sen. Orrin Hatch repped the Beehive State by joining the call for a Justice Department nuke on the Series via the Sherman Antitrust Act. Because I've been honed in on political pressure on the BCS for about eight months, I see ramifications spinning off in every direction, but one line from the proceeding in particular caught my eye:

[Hatch] turned his indignation on one of his witnesses, University of Nebraska at Lincoln Chancellor Harvey Perlman, a fan of the BCS system. [And a directly interested party. -- ed.] "Let's take last year's Utah team," Hatch said. "What more could they have done to play their way into a national championship game?"

"Senator," Perlman replied, "it's hard to respond to this without appearing to be disrespectful of Utah."

"And you don't want to be, in this room," Hatch told the witness.

Perlman offered his haughty answer: "They could've played the schedule Nebraska played last year."

"Well," Hatch argued, "they played a lot of big-time teams."

Perlman offered pity for the spurned Utes. "That's the way the world is, I'm afraid," he said.

Replace "the schedule Nebraska played" with "the schedule Florida played" or "the schedule Oklahoma played" or "the schedule [insert powerhouse] played"; Nebraska, specifically, is not important here. (A good thing for Perlman, because the Huskers haven't beaten a ranked team since 2001.)

What is important is that of course Utah could not have played the schedule Nebraska (or Florida or Oklahoma) played. It's literally not possible on multiple levels under the current system, which is precisely the issue Hatch and his BCS-hating colleagues are attacking here.

I don't know if it's "disrespectful" to the Utes or their upstanding representatives to point out that, by and large, the Mountain West is inferior to the "Big Six" conferences, historically, financially and competitively. For the two or three quality teams at the top every year, half the schedule automatically consists of UNLV, San Diego State, New Mexico, Colorado State, Air Force and Wyoming; for Utah, TCU and BYU last year, it also consisted of Northern Iowa, Weber State, Utah State, Stephen F. Austin and SMU. As Perlman says, this is an inherently disqualifying schedule no matter how successful any team may be against it, even in by far the best of the non-BCS conferences.

But the question from there is: How could Utah, TCU, BYU or Boise State improve its schedule to match a Big 12 or SEC-worthy gauntlet? And the answer is: They can't. Even if they're ambitious enough to go looking for goliaths to slay, smaller schools are still lucky to score one national power in the non-conference lineup, and those teams can turn out to be enormous disappointments. Utah last year, with regular season wins over a traditional power (Michigan), a solid, ranked contender from a "Big Six" conference (Oregon State) and two ranked teams from its own league, played the absolute maximum of a schedule for a team in its position; the only way it could have been better is if the Wolverines had held up their end of the deal by not descending into the worst spiral since the Great Depression. Still, there was zero talk about Utah as a snubbed contender prior to the Sugar Bowl, because it was abundantly clear just how watered-down the bottom half of their slate was; even after they vaulted onto the national map with the pounding in New Orleans, the heads on the Utes' wall still didn't measure up to the other contenders.

The only possible solution for a mid-major program to play a major schedule is to actually join a major conference. And we can be sure that will not be happening at any point in the near future.

So: Big schools overwhelmingly a) Have no interest in tough mid-major games outside of the conference, b) Raise the standard for mid-majors to enter the roped-off, big-money bowl games that determine the so-called championship, and c) Won't let mid-major teams into the conferences, an exclusion that costs the smaller schools millions of dollars every year. Indeed, as Perlman says, this is frequently "the way the world works." And when it works this way, it is called a cartel, and we call on government to enforce its laws to shut it down with haste. That's what Hatch and lawyers from the Mountain West alledge, anyway.

I'm still generally on the fence about Congressional intervention in this case for many reasons, libertarian instincts foremost among them. But something tells me this is not exactly the defense the BCS will be using as the saga lurches forward.

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  1. jason l
    1. Posted by jason l Wed Jul 08, 2009 12:57 pm EDT

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    Well said. The better teams like Utah become, the fewer major teams will be willing to take the risk of playing them. If big teams will not play good mid-major teams, then we need a system that will schedule the game anyway. It's called a playoff.
  2. John
    2. Posted by John Wed Jul 08, 2009 12:57 pm EDT

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    The MWC is easily as good as the ACC and better than the Big East. The system sucks and needs to be fixed.
  3. John
    3. Posted by John Wed Jul 08, 2009 12:58 pm EDT

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    The MWC is easily as good as the ACC and better than the Big East. The system stinks and needs to be fixed.
  4. Mittens
    4. Posted by Mittens Wed Jul 08, 2009 1:06 pm EDT

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    I mentioned this is an earlier post of yours Matt.
    I understand the inherent difficulties that Utah and other teams face with their in conference schedule, but after the past few years, why haven't the heads of the top tier schools in the WAC and MWC not gotten together and formed a new conference that would provide a worthy slate for inclusion in the BCS? I don't think anyone could argue that if Utah went undefeated in a conference consisting of Utah, BYU, TCU, Boise State, Fresno State, San Jose State, Houston, Tulsa, UTEP, Colorado State, and two other teams (obviously the latter teams being interchangeable with other programs) that they should not have been in the title game.
    And while the inherent conference schedule is a problem, no one forced them to schedule Weber State and when you play a weak schedule in a weak conference you need to do better against those teams than 13-10 against New Mexico, 25-23 against one of the worst Michigan teams in history, and 13-10 against TCU, a team who lost 35-10 to one of the teams Utah wanted to replace in the championship game.
  5. Mittens
    5. Posted by Mittens Wed Jul 08, 2009 1:07 pm EDT

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    I mentioned this is an earlier post of yours Matt.
    I understand the inherent difficulties that Utah and other teams face with their in conference schedule, but after the past few years, why haven't the heads of the top tier schools in the WAC and MWC not gotten together and formed a new conference that would provide a worthy slate for inclusion in the BCS? I don't think anyone could argue that if Utah went undefeated in a conference consisting of Utah, BYU, TCU, Boise State, Fresno State, San Jose State, Houston, Tulsa, UTEP, Colorado State, and two other teams (obviously the latter teams being interchangeable with other programs) that they should not have been in the title game.
    And while the inherent conference schedule is a problem, no one forced them to schedule Weber State and when you play a weak schedule in a weak conference you need to do better against those teams than 13-10 against New Mexico, 25-23 against one of the worst Michigan teams in history, and 13-10 against TCU, a team who lost 35-10 to one of the teams Utah wanted to replace in the championship game.
  6. Brett W
    6. Posted by Brett W Wed Jul 08, 2009 1:07 pm EDT

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    You need a playoff, that way the best team wins on the field! Champions should be decided on the field, not by a computer. The BCS is SOCIALISM!
  7. Jeff K
    7. Posted by Jeff K Wed Jul 08, 2009 1:23 pm EDT

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    The Huskers beat Michigan in the 2005 Alamo Bowl. Michigan entered the game ranked #20 in the AP poll.
    Your comment about Nebraska not beating a ranked opponent since 2001 is demonstrably false.
  8. Stephen J
    8. Posted by Stephen J Wed Jul 08, 2009 1:32 pm EDT

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    http://myespn.go.com/blogs/big12/0-11-28/There-was-no-way-for-Perlman-to-reason-with-BCS-foes.html
  9. William
    9. Posted by William Wed Jul 08, 2009 1:42 pm EDT

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    It would have been nice if Mr. Saturday would have been more accurate with the information. Nebraska had a game scheduled with Utah until Utah decided to back out of the game. They can't play it both ways. If you don't want to play those from the big conferences, don't whine about it later that you don't get the rewards they get. Besides, last year's Michigan & Oregon State were their conference basement teams. Nothing to hold your hat on.
  10. Fakin
    10. Posted by Fakin Wed Jul 08, 2009 1:44 pm EDT

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    i'll call it right now: my sooners (god, hopefully not), lose to texas again next year; oklahoma state beats texas in stillwater on halloween; OU mops the floor with bedlam in norman and gets the nod for the conference championship, which they win soundly of course since the north is a joke.
    the 3-way tie system will end up screwing someone again, and soon, but i'm fine with it. texas fans can stop crying when they change the system or when they play quality mid-major opponents OOC like oklahoma does[miami, tulsa, byu].
    [lousiana monroe, ucf, utep, and wyoming]? for real tejas?
  11. Fakin
    11. Posted by Fakin Wed Jul 08, 2009 1:47 pm EDT

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    and william, oregon state finished 3rd in the pac-10, not in the cellar.
    utah still not deserving though, mittens has good points
  12. drumsandchicken
    12. Posted by drumsandchicken Wed Jul 08, 2009 1:52 pm EDT

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    Heh. According to UNL Law School legend, when Perlman was in law school a professor made a broad statement and the next day Perlman showed up he disproved the idea that the statement was always true by finding an extremely limited exception. The professor called on him every day for the rest of his law school career and Perlman was always prepared and ALWAYS right.
    He's right here too. When Hatch ran for president he couldn't raise enough funds to continue because he wasn't a contender. When he runs for reelection for the Senate he has such a warchest that nobody can mount a serious oppositon. There's nothing 'unfair' about it. That's the way the world is sometimes. Serious contenders get serious consideration. The current system is set up with adequate fairness; if the MWC wants the pollsters to look at them more favorably then they should destroy every inferior team they play...which Utah didn't. You can't blame the BCS conferences for pollsters not liking your teams. The system didn't say that Utah wasn't a serious contender...the pollsters did.
    It's not a cartel any more than the NFL is a cartel for deciding which teams make the playoffs. There are rules about who gets into the BCS and into the NC game. And it's not like there has ever been a playoff; it's disingenuous to say that Utah didn't know what it was getting into when it joined division I football when the NCAA split. There were haves and have nots then as well. If they want to be a 'have' then they're going to need to show more than 1 year of being a contender...or at least more than the 5 years they have been better than mediocre at best. Other than that their options are to stay a 'have not' in the BCS system or move down to IAA and enjoy their playoff system. It may not be 'fair', but that's the way the world and America are sometimes.
  13. Wilbur W
    13. Posted by Wilbur W Wed Jul 08, 2009 1:56 pm EDT

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    Re: 2005 Alamo Bowl -
    A minor correction - the Sun Belt Conference officials won that game. Nebraska, Michigan and ESPN's viewers all lost. Worst. Officiated. Game. Ever.
  14. lebetkowitz
    14. Posted by lebetkowitz Wed Jul 08, 2009 1:59 pm EDT

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    Why can't the BCS get an anti-trust exemption just like the major professional leagues? A competitive sports league with a limited number of teams is inherently a cartel/monopoly/trust or whatever you MBA types call it. Of course, those MWC plebes realize this, which is why they don't want to destroy the cartel, they just want to join it.
  15. gtne91
    15. Posted by gtne91 Wed Jul 08, 2009 2:06 pm EDT

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    #14 - only MLB has an anti-trust exemption and that is only because Oliver Wendell Holmes was an idiot.
  16. Nicholas N
    16. Posted by Nicholas N Wed Jul 08, 2009 2:11 pm EDT

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    Critics of MWC and WAC teams often claim that MWC and WAC teams "avoid" games against big name schools, like Utah "backing out" of the game against Nebraska cited by William. The problem is that teams like Nebraska and Michigan won't schedule home and home games against teams like Utah, BYU, TCU, Boise State, etc. These schools need home games, so they have a choice to either play home and home games with other non-BCS teams or play a game at a big-name school and then schedule a 1-AA team at home.
    Kudos to BCS teams like Oregon, Oregon State, and Florida State for scheduling home and home series with Boise State, Utah, and BYU, respectively, but these are few and far between. Hence the rich get richer and the poor get poorer.
  17. New Orleans Dawg
    17. Posted by New Orleans Dawg Wed Jul 08, 2009 2:15 pm EDT

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    I'm pro-playoff, but I'm also aware enough that a play-off I consider fair wouldn't ever happen. So with that in mind, I'd rather keep the system as is. As far as what could Utah have done this past season? Perhaps nothing, although I'd like to see some evidence of this. Agreed that Michigan didn't hold up its end of the deal, but Utah did play Utah State and Weber State out of conference. Did they have no other option? If a team in a non-BCS conference were to play all of its out of conference games against decent BCS foes, would they still be left out? And does it depend on the year, like Auburn 2004?
  18. Nicholas N
    18. Posted by Nicholas N Wed Jul 08, 2009 2:22 pm EDT

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    #14 - If everybody joins the cartel, it's not a cartel anymore. It's a free market. The MWC doesn't want to join so much as let everybody in. Even the current system could work if you simply took the 6 highest ranked conference champs. Last year that would have been Oklahoma, Florida, USC, Utah, Penn State, Boise State and we would have been spared the Virginia Tech - Cincinnati snozefest that was the Orange Bowl.
  19. ev
    19. Posted by ev Wed Jul 08, 2009 2:43 pm EDT

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    Utah had a chance to play Texas last year but backed out to play Weber State. Sure doesn't sound like someone trying their hardest to play a tough schedule.
  20. thisBtheyear
    20. Posted by thisBtheyear Wed Jul 08, 2009 2:49 pm EDT

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    #19 Nicholas N-How many of us want to see a Utah-Boise St. Sugar Bowl? That's the way your scenario would've turned out.
  21. SpartanDan
    21. Posted by SpartanDan Wed Jul 08, 2009 2:50 pm EDT

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    "It's not a cartel any more than the NFL is a cartel for deciding which teams make the playoffs."
    Bad analogy. In the NFL, if you win your division, you're in. Making the playoffs in the NFL is always under your direct control. Not true of the BCS title game - Utah and Boise State were effectively eliminated before they even set foot on the field last year, and that isn't right.
  22. Nicholas N
    22. Posted by Nicholas N Wed Jul 08, 2009 3:03 pm EDT

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    #21 First of all, it wouldn't have been a Utah - Boise St. Sugar Bowl. Assuming Texas, Alabama, Ohio State, and either TCU, Cincinnati, or Texas Tech (if they dropped the moronic "2 teams per conference" rule) got the at large bids, it would have been an Alabama - Utah Sugar Bowl, Boise State - (TCU, Cin., Texas Tech) Orange Bowl. And say what you want about Utah and Boise State drawing viewers but the 2007 Fiesta and 2009 Sugar Bowls were two of the best non-BCS title games in the past 3 years. And the Boise State - TCU matchup in the 2009 Poinsettia Bowl was at least great game (although with a terrible time slot on Dec. 23rd).
  23. lebetkowitz
    23. Posted by lebetkowitz Wed Jul 08, 2009 3:11 pm EDT

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    @16- Don't all other pro leagues have a defacto antitrust exemption then? What is the difference?
    @ 19- Are you actually suggesting that once MWC schools get that big BCS $$, they would still want to"let everybody in", thus further diluting the money pot? They would defend their ground just as hard as the current BCS schools once they were in. This has nothing to do with championships and competitiveness no matter how much Hatch et al blather about it . It's all about the benjamins.
    @22- So what about USC? Should they get into the NFL playoffs? Why, they were effectively eliminated before they set foot on the field!!!1!1one!! MWC:BCS::SEC/B10/B12etc:NFL
  24. Nicholas N
    24. Posted by Nicholas N Wed Jul 08, 2009 3:17 pm EDT

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    Or here's an even simpler system for choosing which teams make BCS bowls - just take the top 10 teams. That's fair for everybody, gives all teams equal access to the big money games, and is something the BCS conference commissioners wake up at night in a cold sweat thinking about.
  25. CuseFanInSoCal
    25. Posted by CuseFanInSoCal Wed Jul 08, 2009 3:22 pm EDT

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    John @#3, no, it's not. The bottom half the MWC (and the bottom 2/3 of the WAC) is awful. BYU, Utah, and TCU are good, and Air Force and Colorado State are respectable... but UNLV, New Mexico, Wyoming, and San Diego State are terrible. Like, would probably lose to my Orange or Louisville nine times out of ten terrible. Utah was better than anyone in the Big East last year, but I'm not at all sure TCU was better than Cinci (the Bearcats certainly gave Oklahoma a better game than TCU did), and I am sure Pitt and WVU were also better than BYU, and that Rutgers, UConn, and USF were better than Air Force and Colorado State.
    I'm a big playoff advocate, and I think the top mid-majors are in a really tough situation (in terms of getting into the BCS title game; in terms of getting to a big-money BCS game, they've got a better shot than most teams not named Ohio State or USC). But arguing the MWC is better than the Big East (or even the ACC, as much as it pains me to say it, as a Big East guy) is insane.

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