Dr. Saturday - NCAAF

The Doc Saturday crew peruses the weekly lines and pulls out a few shockers.

Chris Brown: Central Michigan (+13.5) over Arizona.
I like Arizona, I really do. I like what Mike Stoops has done, and within a few years, offensive coordinator Sonny Dykes (son of former Texas Tech legend Spike Dykes and protege of fellow Texas Tech legend, Captain Leach), will be a head coach for a D-1 program somewhere. But, while this game is at Arizona, I cannot justify the nearly two-touchdown spread; in fact, I think the Chippewas will win it outright. CMU has won eight games in each of coach Butch Jones's first two seasons, but more importantly they return 17 starters, none more important than Tim Tebow-lite, quarterback Dan LeFevour. LeFevour is a tough, gritty kid, and this is just the type of win over a BCS program to jumpstart his senior year.  More importantly, Arizona should take a step back after losing a lot of talent from last year's squad, and I think that regression will begin in week one.

Matt Hinton: Cincinnati (+5) over Rutgers (Monday).
The line on this one goes as high as 6.5 on some sites, a pretty strong diss to the defending Big East champs. Yes, the Bearcats lose 10 starters from a solid defense that anchored the best team in school history, but Rutgers' losses on offense -- goodbye, leading passer and receiver in school history -- are about as substantial. The Knights also flopped at home last Labor Day, in a loss to Fresno State that looked worse and worse as the year wore on. Put it this way: Cincy returns a substantial percentage of its offense, including the best quarterback in the conference, and Brian Kelly has yet to fall short of expectations in any season as a head coach. Rutgers' offense isn't in very good position out of the gate to exploit the turnover on the other side.

Doug Gillett: Georgia (+4.5) over Oklahoma State.
I realize I'm jinxing my team eight ways from Sunday by even allowing this to cross my mind. But even if the Zac Robinson rumors have no legs, OSU has been experiencing an inordinate amount of personnel turmoil over the last few weeks, and even a Cowboy defense at full strength would be tasked with bouncing back from last year's 94th-in-the-nation performance. As good a coordinator as Bill Young may be, I'm not sure he can yank the handbrake and pull a 180 with that unit in the span of a single game. Georgia's defense didn't play so well themselves during the second half of last season, but the talent and experience are there, and given Mark Richt's sterling record in opponents' home stadiums, I put my faith behind Georgia to make the necessary adjustments and pull out a close win in Stillwater.

Holly Anderson: Miami, Ohio (+15) over Kentucky
Can these be flatly irrational? I'll take the Redhawks over Kentucky, because apparently Dick's Sporting Goods in Lexington doesn't carry Tennessee gear, and to quote a dear Vawl partisan buddy, "After 24 [losses to Tennessee] in a row, you have lost the right to be a [jerk] about it."

Louisiana Tech (+13.5) over Auburn.
Because the Bulldogs are one of those pesky, sneaky upset types to begin with (they knocked off Mississippi State in last year's opener en route to their first bowl win in 30 years) and Auburn is such a completely unknown quantity at this point.

Nevada (+14.5) over Notre Dame.
Because I really like getting emails telling me I'm a religious bigot (despite my Catholic background) for not liking their football team. Keep 'em coming, beautiful people.

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19 Comments

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  1. I M #1
    1. Posted by I'M #1 Thu Sep 03, 2009 11:17 am EDT

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    Tough pro fantasy league need 4 more no little boys please ....League rules from yahoo winners league....
    The Super League (ID# 680323)
  2. jDAWG
    2. Posted by jDAWG Thu Sep 03, 2009 11:29 am EDT

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    I think everyone would agree that only a fake catholic would so quickly rush to claim to be catholic in defense of her open and unabashed bigotry.
    Notre Dame sucks. (It's ok, I'm catholic.)
  3. jDAWG
    3. Posted by jDAWG Thu Sep 03, 2009 11:33 am EDT

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    Holly: "Can these be flatly irrational?"
    Per Otm Shank, apparently not.
    New rule: Blogs are not to be funny, sarcastic, or entertaining. Cold facts only please, I don't like to smile.
  4. Doug G
    4. Posted by Doug G Thu Sep 03, 2009 11:38 am EDT

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    And Otm Shank bases his opinion of Holly's intellect and character on three random football picks. Way to disprove the stereotype that insecure men are threatened by ass-kicking chicks who like football and have actual senses of humor, girlfriend.
  5. conor b
    5. Posted by conor b Thu Sep 03, 2009 12:09 pm EDT

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    How many consecutive seasons does Notre Dame have to suck for until they stop getting so much lame-ass hype.
  6. Jason
    6. Posted by Jason Thu Sep 03, 2009 12:16 pm EDT

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    I like Nevada to win outright.
    And the Ducks big over Boise State tonight.
  7. Amos
    7. Posted by Amos Thu Sep 03, 2009 12:34 pm EDT

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    @conor
    They have to suck long enough that nobody left in the media was actually alive to see their glory days. Also Lou Holtz and Beano Cook need to stop talking.
  8. 4.0 Point Stance
    8. Posted by 4.0 Point Stance Thu Sep 03, 2009 12:40 pm EDT

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    Great comments like ths really make me look forward to moderating the live blog!
  9. adder30
    9. Posted by adder30 Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:05 pm EDT

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    Dear Holly,
    Don't worry, me and my dad hate Notre Dame just as much as the rest of you,
    sincerely,
    Jesus
  10. Jerkwheat
    10. Posted by Jerkwheat Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:17 pm EDT

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    Go!
    fire up chips!
  11. Benjamin
    11. Posted by Benjamin Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:30 pm EDT

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    Holly, it's despicable and deplorable that you are entitled to air your opinions for everyone to read. Especially when what you wrote is so removed from reality that one has to question your sanity.
    Those upset picks are almost locks, not irrational.
  12. Texy
    12. Posted by Texy Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:31 pm EDT

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    I'm a female, I went to Notre Dame - and I even I'm picking against the Irish. I guess I don't make it in a man's world!
  13. Rob
    13. Posted by Rob Thu Sep 03, 2009 5:07 pm EDT

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    I like all these picks except the Rutgers one. I think the Knights will be one of the better teams in the Big East this year and Cincy is going to take a big step backwards.
    Go Ducks!
  14. wahurd
    14. Posted by wahurd Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:23 pm EDT

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    Boy, I'm confused. I hate Catholics but I love Charlie Weis. I might just explode.
  15. Doug G
    15. Posted by Doug G Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:44 pm EDT

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    What's hilarious is that all you have to do is click on silverking's name to see his record in all the pick'em groups he's played in. If those records are any indication, what he knows about sports you could just about squeeze into a thimble, and would be handily outclassed by Holly, Erin Andrews, or any other female who's bothered to peruse a copy of SI for more than five minutes.
  16. ess-eee-seee
    16. Posted by ess-eee-seee Fri Sep 04, 2009 10:32 pm EDT

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    I don't think Silverking even understands the concept of a line, as he seems to believe taking Nevada +14.5= "think(ing) Nevada is going to beat Notre Dame." I bet he knows a lot about football.
  17. ess-eee-seee
    17. Posted by ess-eee-seee Fri Sep 04, 2009 10:39 pm EDT

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    I don't think Silverking even understands the concept of a line, as he seems to believe taking Nevada +14.5= "think(ing) Nevada is going to beat Notre Dame." I bet he knows a lot about football.
  18. Chris
    18. Posted by Chris Sun Sep 06, 2009 1:39 pm EDT

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    Hmmm, Holly, you were only off by about 3 touchdowns. But thats not alot right? You should be fired. The kitchen is calling your name.
  19. Timothy M
    19. Posted by Timothy M Mon Sep 07, 2009 3:42 pm EDT

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    Guess not, Melissa.

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