Dr. Saturday - NCAAF

Why any system that excludes the Horned Frogs is rubbish.

Barring a colossal upset at the top of the polls this weekend, we know beyond a shadow of a doubt that undefeated TCU doesn't have a chance of overtaking Texas or the winner of the SEC Championship game for one of the two slots in January's BCS title game -- and the Frogs may not even make it even with the benefit of a shocker, depending on how the dominoes fall. Assuming TCU finishes off 1-10 New Mexico to complete a perfect regular season, here's why that should bring out the rhetorical torches ad pitchforks (again) against the BCS' "two-team playoff":

Quality wins. The Frogs have as many wins over teams in the current BCS top 25 as Alabama (three apiece) and more than Florida and Texas (one apiece) combined. In fact, TCU's best wins -- at No. 18 Clemson and No. 19 BYU and in a home romp over No. 21 Utah -- give it as many wins over ranked teams as any team in the country, and puts the Frogs' overall strength of schedule within a hair's breadth of the Tide's, Gators' and Longhorns' according to BCS computer gurus Jeff Sagarin and Anderson & Hester.

Dominance. It's easy to knock the Frogs' schedule, but they pound lesser teams into dirt at the same grisly rate as more storied heavyweights: The last six games (including the 31-point win at BYU and 27-point win over Utah) were all out of hand by halftime and eventually decided by at least four touchdowns; TCU has only trailed in the fourth quarter once, in the comeback win at Clemson, which has only lost one game since en route to the ACC title game. The average margin of victory (27.1 points per game) is right behind Texas' as the most lopsided number in the nation.

This is the biggest difference between TCU this year and last year's undefeated Mountain West darling, Utah, which was a master of the squeaker. The Utes won four games in '08 by three points or less (including a stunning, last-second comeback over TCU in which they were outgained by 141 yards), and employed an All-American kicker who was 11-for-11 on field goals in those four games. Against an arguably identical schedule, the Frogs are blowing the doors off and haven't left anything up to the kicker.

No weak links. The lopsided scores are a direct result of uncanny across-the-board production. TCU only has one real star, defensive end Jerry Hughes, but is good at everything -- literally everything. The Frogs currently rank in the top 10 nationally in pretty much every conceivable facet of the game:

Scoring Offense (No. 5)
  Total Offense (5)
  Scoring Defense (6)
  Total Defense (4)
  Rushing Offense (5)
  Pass Efficiency Offense (9)
  Rushing Defense (6)
  Passing Defense (3)
  Pass Efficiency Defense (5)
  First Downs Gained (7)
  First Downs Allowed (1)
  Third Down Defense (3)
  Kickoff Returns (1)
  Sacks Allowed (6)
  Time of Possession (10)
  Blood-squirting Mascots (1)

For the general ethos, look no further than the nation's fifth-ranked running game, which has three running backs over 600 yards on the ground for the season -- two of them freshmen, running behind a largely rebuilt offensive line -- but none over 700 yards. Exceptionally efficient quarterback Andy Dalton has chipped in nearly 500 rushing himself.

They're not a one-hit wonder. Not that anything outside of this season's resumé should explicitly count toward anything, but TCU has obviously established itself as one of the most consistent, bankable programs on any level. The Frogs are the only team in the country to win conference championships in three different leagues this decade, taking the WAC (2000), C-USA (2002, with a co-championship in a near-BCS run in 2003) and Mountain West (2005 and 2009); since hopping to the MWC, they've reeled off four 11-win efforts in five years, matched only by USC and Boise State. Under Gary Patterson since 2001, the program ranks right alongside the elite in terms of year-in, year-out excellence. This season is only the first time the Frogs have put it all together at once, without a hiccup.

None of which is to argue that TCU is necessarily better, has a better resumé or is more deserving than any of "The Big Three" obviously on a collision course for Pasadena. It's only to argue that any system that doesn't even allow the likes of the Frogs* the chance to compete for a championship on the field doesn't deserve to bear the term.

- - -
Or Cincinnati, as we'll see later this week.

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26 Comments

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  1. dkbp73
    1. Posted by dkbp73 Mon Nov 23, 2009 2:33 pm EST

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    This Frog fan is looking for a little sugar.
  2. Purple Wimple
    2. Posted by Purple Wimple Mon Nov 23, 2009 2:35 pm EST

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    what I don't get is why MWC and other non-BCS coaches won't vote the Frogs #1 over Flabamtex. It's high time the cartel-outsiders got off the "we're 2nd rate" bandwagon, and pumped up their first collective legitimate #1 candidate.
  3. jDAWG
    3. Posted by jDAWG Mon Nov 23, 2009 2:53 pm EST

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    #2: I don't see how anyone could vote TCU over Bama/Florida considering one will have to have beaten the other, giving that team the most valuable win by any team this season. I might could see Texas, as their schedule is not as strong.
  4. gtne91
    4. Posted by gtne91 Mon Nov 23, 2009 3:00 pm EST

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    #2 - Alabama and/or Florida havent beaten each other YET. They can vote TCU #1 NOW and worry about that scenario after it happens. Heck, Auburn and FSU may make it a moot point this weekend.
  5. gtne91
    5. Posted by gtne91 Mon Nov 23, 2009 3:01 pm EST

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    That was aimed at #3 not #2.
  6. Randy
    6. Posted by Randy Mon Nov 23, 2009 3:42 pm EST

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    just think next year was to be their best season cant wait GoFrogs
  7. Red4564
    7. Posted by Red4564 Mon Nov 23, 2009 4:05 pm EST

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    "doesn't even allow the likes of the Frogs* the chance to compete for a championship"...
    But that's just the thing - they do have a chance. It's not up to the system, it's up to the VOTERS. As #2 puts it, why don't the non-BCS coaches vote TCU #1 if they think they're the best? Hell, why doesn't HINTON vote them #1 - he had the #5 in his last blog poll. Don't hate the system - hate the players.
  8. gtne91
    8. Posted by gtne91 Mon Nov 23, 2009 4:32 pm EST

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    #7 - Its like government. You will never have "the right people" in charge, so you need to create a system that the people can only minimally screw up. That involves a constitution for government and a playoff for football.
    A system in which people vote for the winner is amazingly stupid.
  9. James
    9. Posted by James Mon Nov 23, 2009 5:10 pm EST

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    #7 - The problem isn't that TCU, specifically, is being left out. Rather, it's that a team can go unbeaten while facing a decent schedule and still be left out. If the championship was 13-0 Florida vs 12-0 TCU, with a 13-0 Texas playing in the Fiesta Bowl, that would still be a problem. Like in 2004, how no matter who the voters picked out of USC, Oklahoma, and Auburn, it was guaranteed that they'd leave out a team who had earned the right to play for the championship based on their regular season.
  10. David
    10. Posted by David Mon Nov 23, 2009 5:57 pm EST

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    The system is not about who deserve to play that game, it is who the voter want to see in the championship game. Sad reality, college football has always been about popularity contest, sad but true.
  11. Some Dude
    11. Posted by Some Dude Mon Nov 23, 2009 6:23 pm EST

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    The only reliable solution for teams like TCU, and teams left out of the Top 25, is a playoff system. A "Cinderella Story" is not what I;m looking for; I actually would hate it if some 6-6 team like Texas A&M or Michigan won it all like some regurgitated Hollywood movie. What I'm saying is that the BCS is flawed, and so is the Top 25 System used universally. What about the borderline, Top 40-30 teams like Minnesota or Ball State that are getting crappy bowls? They shouldn't be fighting for the Little Caesar's Pizza Bowl; they should be giving one last push to make it to the playoffs
    As in the case of TCU, or any Top 10 team getting left out because the voters and the "non-biased" computer operators love Texas, Florida, and (usually) Oklahoma, a playoff system would be perfect. To me, the National Championship should be TCU-'Bama. Alabama has gotten the spotlight, and rightfully so. The Frogs are getting slapped upside the heads.
  12. bobby
    12. Posted by bobby Mon Nov 23, 2009 8:26 pm EST

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    gtne91 your comments in post 8 "a system where people vote for a winner is amazingly stupid" is without a question the most unamerican dumbest comment i have read in years i can only assume you are not from the united states where nothing has more value then our right to pick a winner by voting for him. and if you are from here please leave go to canada and get out of my country you are not who i fought for!!!
  13. lee j
    13. Posted by lee j Mon Nov 23, 2009 9:40 pm EST

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    Bobby, what gtne is said in post 8 is correct in terms of sports. Where you got the notion of "unamerican" is beyond me.
  14. bobby
    14. Posted by bobby Mon Nov 23, 2009 10:12 pm EST

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    lee j read the line "a system where people vote for a winner is amazingly stupid"
  15. bobby
    15. Posted by bobby Mon Nov 23, 2009 10:14 pm EST

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    oh and his post started "like goverment"
  16. bobby
    16. Posted by bobby Mon Nov 23, 2009 10:25 pm EST

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    oh and for you tcu fans tcu is not out of it yet alabama still has to play auburn and flaordia, florida still has fsu and alabama, texas has to beat a good neb defence, and cinni still has pitt. there is still a lot that can happen before jan.
  17. LongTrans
    17. Posted by LongTrans Tue Nov 24, 2009 12:13 am EST

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    If TCU plays bama, PROMISE me you will kick the shyt out of them just like Utah did last year. TCU is a very, very good football team. Up and coming program that is for real. I mean real, not boise 'real', but real. You get me. I wish they were in the Big XII.
  18. bobby
    18. Posted by bobby Tue Nov 24, 2009 12:22 am EST

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    i agree with you longtrans tcu would make a great fit and addition to the big 12 they could drop baylor or iowa state and it really would improve the conferance
  19. Marcus G
    19. Posted by Marcus G Tue Nov 24, 2009 1:45 am EST

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    Bobby, a system where people vote for a winner IS amazingly stupid. No one really knows which person would make the best president. The problem is that it is absolutely impossible to give multiple people the chance to be president for the same four years and see which one makes the best president. If that were possible, we would do it. It is not possible to have multiple people be president simultaneously. It is possible to have more than the top two teams in college football meet in a playoff to determine a champion. I'm also not certain what is more "American" than believing teams should be judged by their merits on the field rather than the logos on their helmets.
  20. Scott
    20. Posted by Scott Tue Nov 24, 2009 12:13 pm EST

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    @17---agreed with the get into the Big XII...if you really think that you are that good, have TCU get into the Big XII. Just don't piss and moan about getting your balls handed back to you in the other sports, including probably football. In the Big XII, you might win/be near the top of the B12North.
    MWC is a joke. BYU has NO reason to be up there...they beat an average OK team. Utah...oh, wait....DID NOTHING (but get killed by TCU). So, to use these teams as justification that TCU should be up there is like saying, "my mom has a doctorate in physics, so I should win the Nobel Peace Prize", or "I was in the Senate for 42 sessions and voted President, I should win the Nobel Peace Prize"--(damn...that DID happen--excuse that last example...)
  21. PHUC NUTT/as in houston
    21. Posted by PHUC NUTT/as in houston Tue Nov 24, 2009 1:10 pm EST

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    guess what no new deal until the contract is up w/the BCS in 2014. [profane] all you want is isn't going to do s*h*i*t*.
  22. A
    22. Posted by A Tue Nov 24, 2009 1:27 pm EST

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    When you consider the utterly pathetic out-of-conference schedules of Florida, Alabama and Texas, any argument about TCU having a "weaker schedule" is just hype and desperation.
    TCU's worst four in-conference opponents are collectively equal to all of Florida's, Alabama's and Texas' out-of-conference schedules. Stop talking about those games and compare the other eight.
    When one compares those three Florida's, Alabama's and Texas' in-conference schedules against TCU's four best in-conference games AND four out-of-conference games, the four schedules are equal.
    Placing TCU far below them is a joke, a desperate attempt to avoid allowing non-BCS teams to earn a legitimate title. It's as desperate as BCS teams' avoidance of scheduling teams like TCU and other "mid majors": they can't win credibility on the field if they don't get to play.
    I would be laughing my head off if Florida State managed to beat Florida and Texas stumbled against Texas A&M or against Nebraska. There would be no choice for a national championship game except for TCU against the SEC champion.
  23. PHUC NUTT/as in houston
    23. Posted by PHUC NUTT/as in houston Tue Nov 24, 2009 1:29 pm EST

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    the profane was was B*I*T*C*H* - do it all you want. all the way until 2014. all you want. it won't change a damn thing. unless some billionaire come's in, & pay's everyone involved w/the BCS what they've invested, & what they stand to make until 2014 nothing's changing. not one damn thing. even if we had a playoff, & TCU was in the title game I STILL WOULDN'T WATCH IT.
  24. PHUC NUTT/as in houston
    24. Posted by PHUC NUTT/as in houston Tue Nov 24, 2009 1:42 pm EST

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    Deal w/it. all the damn way til 2014. hope your still good in 2014. hey tcu was forecasted to be good in 2010. what about 2014. that's when the contract is up. the contract is up in 2014 not 2009, but 2014. hope you have a leg to stand on in 2014. you don't have a leg to stand on in 2009. the contract is up in 2014. matter of fact there's now a "bcs chairman" to remind you the contract isn't up until 2014. do you know what he's gonna say until 2014 ? wait until 2014. the contract isn't up until 2014. the commish also just appointed a spin doctor "pr" guy to spoon feed you 2014. he's the 2014 shield for the commish when he's already told you 2014. hey what about - bam b*i*t*c*h* 2014 upside yo' head. what part of 2014 do you not get ? the contract is not up until 2014.
  25. peoplespigskin
    25. Posted by peoplespigskin Tue Nov 24, 2009 6:17 pm EST

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    I'm glad the B(c)S protects from teams whose schedules include Texas State...oh, wait, that was Texas who played Texas State.
    What I meant to say is I'm glad to be protected from teams whose schedules include Chattanooga...oh, wait, that was Alabama.
    What I meant to say is I'm glad to be protected from teams whose schedules include Charleston Southern...oh, wait, that was Florida.
    What I meant to say is that I'll be thankful when our discussions switch to things like whether TCU should get Ohio State in the first round.

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