Dr. Saturday - NCAAF

I have no reason to defend Texas Tech, but I did get worked up over its description in the Knoxville News-Sentinel this week as a "gadget offense" that would never go over in the big, bad SEC, just because it's so incredibly retrograde.

Leach's offense at Tech is nothing of the sort, unless you still think of the forward pass as a "gadget": Watch the Raiders throw the ball, and they're not deceptive, they don't run motion all over the field, they don't run a lot of reverses, throwbacks or even play-action. It's just a fundamentally sound passing game that's exceptional in its timing and precision, and unless Oklahoma is able to disrupt it at the root -- that is, by pressuring Graham Harrell -- the Sooners will go the way of Texas and Oklahoma State (and, you know, the Sooners, since it was last year's upset over OU in Lubbock that kicked off Tech's ongoing, 12-game win streak).

Let's talk gameplan. It's hard to deal with Tech's scheme with coverages. You might hear talking heads occasionally say something like, "They [Texas Tech] don't care what the defense is doing. They do what they do." Here's a good example from last year's game against Oklahoma and the Raiders' last game against Oklahoma State, when the same play resulted in big gains against completely different defenses.

Oklahoma State played man defense most of the game, with truly awful results. One of said results was on this play in the second quarter, when Tech came out in a trips formation and crossed the secondary up with the kind of post-flag combo route that you might run regularly (I know I do) on NCAA Football:

The result is Michael Crabtree one-on-one in the middle of the field, and a completion inside the five-yard-line:

Tech scored easily on a draw to Shannon Woods on the next play. Obviously, you don't want Michael Crabtree running one-on-one with anybody -- but that's better than leaving him running all alone between a safety and linebacker, as Oklahoma did on a key play in the first half of last year's loss in Lubbock (this video, as poor as it is, is titled "Tech vs OU Momentum Shift"), when the Raiders hit the exact same route for a big gain against the Sooners' zone:

The key in both cases is Graham Harrell getting the ball out quickly, on time, to just the right spot, and Crabtree being big and physical enough to get off the line and get that spot. They're so consistent and precise with the pitch-and-catch elements, the coverage is always at a disadvantage. The defense has to try to disrupt Harrell's timing and accuracy with the pass rush.

Let's go to the game tape.
The problem is that, uh, there isn't any game tape of a defense disrupting Harrell with the pass rush. Tech's given up four sacks all year in 500 pass attempts; Texas got to him twice, and Oklahoma State didn't come close.

Earlier in the year, contributor Tyler Sellhorn broke down Oklahoma State's pressure on Missouri, whose attack is similar to Texas Tech's in a lot of ways: four and five-wide, big splits by the linemen, extremely smart, accurate quarterback. The Cowboys exploited the Tigers' big line splits and got to Chase Daniel by twisting their linemen on a regular basis, totally fouling up Missouri's man blocking scheme, keeping Daniel in the pocket and forcing him into more mistakes than he'd made the entire first month of the season:

Though the formations and lines may be the same, the difference in Chase Daniel and Graham Harrell is that Daniel is more dangerous on the run, and much of Missouri's offense relies on getting him outside of the pocket; the Cowboys' twists were designed to trap Daniel into moving into pressure. Harrell doesn't move unless the play has broken down; he wants to stay in the pocket, and twists will take too long to get home.

Oklahoma prefers to just beat the offensive line one-on-one with superior athletes, but Tech's line has shown no weakness on that front. More likely -- unless he's willing to leave his secondary in man coverage and pray for the best -- Sooner defensive coordinator Brent Venables is going to have to get creative, which is hardly foreign to him: Here's how he baited then-sophomore Harrell into a sack with a textbook zone blitz the last time the Raiders were in Norman, in 2006.

Oklahoma's only in a three-man front, but with linebackers creeping up before the snap, one of Harrell's "hot" reads in case of blitz is the quick slant into the middle of the field. Instead, Venables drops the trips-side defensive end into that passing lane, leaving the Tech right tackle blocking air as the pressure comes from the backside corner:

It's only a four-man rush, but it's not the four men the quarterback or (especially) the protection expects. Harrell recognizes the end dropping into the passing lane and doesn't make the bad throw, but by holding onto the ball too long, and with his line shifting wholesale in the wrong direction, he's meat for Lendy Holmes off the corner:

The question is whether a) Senior Graham Harrell is going to be confused, or as slow to react to the blitz, as Sophomore Graham Harrell, and b) whether his line will leave him hanging out to dry. Neither has been the case so far this year, at any point, but as with Missouri in 2007, Oklahoma's defense has a way of breaking certain prolific offensive trends. In this case, with the Sooner offense, it only needs three or four stops, and maybe a turnover or two.

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19 Comments

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  1. Ray Michael
    1. Posted by Ray Michael Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:20 pm EDT

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    I really hope that the BCS gets exposed this year. Go undefeated teams!
  2. Steve G
    2. Posted by Steve G Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:15 pm EDT

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    Right. And this is why Michigan is so bad this year. Very powerful analysis.
  3. Dan B
    3. Posted by Dan B Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:34 pm EDT

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    Small nit: last year's Texas Tech - Oklahoma game was in Lubbock, not Norman.
    Keep up the good work Hinton.
  4. ballbright
    4. Posted by ballbright Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:46 pm EDT

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    Leach was on the short list for the Arkansas job this past season, along with Will Muschamp before Bobby Petrino came along...
    ...apparently AD Jeff Long thought Leach's offense would work in the SEC...
  5. JB
    5. Posted by JB Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:18 pm EDT

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    Wheres the holding call on that big flat footed # 71 on the opening photo. I'm sending this to Boone for the league to review.
  6. Michael
    6. Posted by Michael Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:11 pm EDT

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    Matt, I really enjoy your deconstruction posts. They are very well done and give insight few media outlets provide.
    That said, your first picture in the post explained everything about Tech's success. The hold on OSU's defensive end. Go back to the Tech-Texas game film and watch the horse collar on Texas' Brian Orakapo, which caused the leg injury. No call on the play despite the video evidence of Tech's offensive lineman with his arm around Orakapo's neck.
    Tech does not run a gadget offense. Let's just call it "Texas Tech Hold 'Em" as in the offensive linemen hold the defensive linemen long enough for Graham Harrell to find an open receiver.
  7. noA
    7. Posted by noA Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:09 pm EDT

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    Dan B - Hinton got it right, your nit is wrong - see above"(and, you know, the Sooners, since it was last year's upset over OU in Lubbock that kicked off Tech's ongoing, 12-game win streak)."
    About last year's "upset" of OU in Lubbock...people should watch that game before predicting tomorrow night. Sam Bradford got a concussion on OU's first series and did not play the rest of the game. OU made every mistake in the book in the first half which ended with Tech up 27-10. Even with Joey Halzle at QB, OU won the second half 17-7, Tech did not score in the 4th Quarter, and OU just missed tying the game on a controversial 4th down incompletion in the end zone - the announcers thought it was an OU TD.
    Harrell's stats in Lubbock last year 47-72 (yes 72 pass attempts) or 65% for 420 yards, Tech was only 5-17 on 3rd downs (2-2 on 4th down) and punted 6 times. Tech did not make a first down in the last 10 minutes of the game. Harrell was Junior, not a sophomore.
    In that last 10 minutes OU scored 2 TD's, and also had 2 drives that ended with 4th down incompletions in the end zone, and OU's onside kick with 20 sec left failed. Remember, the OU QB was Joey Halzle NOT Sam Bradford! And this was with the crowd ROARING in Lubbock. Maybe Brent Venables DOES know a thing or two about playing defense against Tech....
  8. badboilerrat
    8. Posted by badboilerrat Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:23 pm EDT

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    Michael-et al.
    WAH !!!
    Scoreboard!!- or poll
    MAtt- Keep up the great work
  9. Greg R
    9. Posted by Greg R Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:13 pm EDT

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    If an OLman has his arms extended and you as a DE do one of your terrific spin moves, is the OLman obligated to drop his arms and maybe clap? Photos at a point in time don't show holding unless it is the jersey in the grasp of a fist type. In this case the DE spins inside the OL arms leaving the OL arm where it is at that time. Same thing happened to Orakpo when he was injured. Spin at your own risk because the OL doesn't have to stop extending his arms. He just can't grasp the jersey and throw down at that point (and he doesn't).
  10. Jams
    10. Posted by Jams Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:14 pm EDT

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    Not that I've got any problem with your analysis, Doc, but what ever happened to Actual Coach Selhorn?
  11. Steve G
    11. Posted by Steve G Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:15 pm EDT

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    Venables has been using the extra week to interview with Clemson. Leach and Harrell are using it to prepare for those zone blitzes, probably with screens to the blitzing side.
  12. Mark
    12. Posted by Mark Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:56 pm EDT

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    Go ahead and call the tech guy for holding. i am going to call no.91 on the defense for illegal hands to the face of the tech lineman
  13. yabba d
    13. Posted by yabba d Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:54 pm EDT

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    Okalahoma should win, except I believe Tech is playing Chokelahoma. He, he, he.
  14. kevin
    14. Posted by kevin Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:34 pm EDT

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    does it really matter if OU wins. They are 117 out of 121 fbs teams with a whopping 46.3% graduation rate. Who would have ever known knitting and badminton was that tough. They also lead the country in pawned heismanns. Both Billy sims and Steve owens pawned their heismans , further proving knitting and badmiton didnt get them to far It wont be long before jason white pawns his. Go texas tech.
  15. DJ Ollie
    15. Posted by DJ Ollie Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:44 pm EDT

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    Last year = irrelevant. Home records = irrelevant. Armchair officiating = irrelevant. Only thing that's relevant is 7 pm kickoff. Here's to an injury-free and balls-to-the-wall crazy game. Wreck 'Em!
  16. Jonathan H
    16. Posted by Jonathan H Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:40 pm EDT

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    I love the comparisons to last years game. Yes Bradford got knocked out and cried the rest of the game on the sideline. Yes Ou made a good run at it with their backup. But you can't even begin to compare that to this years game. Tech is so much better running and throwing and defensively than last year. They are a completely different team than last year and will come into Norman(where ou is 59-2 bc they don't play anybody at home i.e. TEXAS) where they will face a sub par defense even compared to techs. In anyway there will be a lot of points gl to both.
  17. cosmas_aitolos
    17. Posted by cosmas_aitolos Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:29 pm EDT

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    Not really surprised that came out of a Knoxville paper, they've clearly forgotten what good football looks like there.
  18. Omega Man
    18. Posted by Omega Man Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:44 pm EDT

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    65-21!
  19. just4funsies
    19. Posted by just4funsies Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:44 pm EDT

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    Yeah, I guess THAT pretty much answers the question...

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