Dr. Saturday - NCAAF

Part of the Doc's Big 12 Week.

A couple weeks back, I got in touch with the Austin American-Statesman's sports department to inquire about a strange thing had popped up as a "related story" in the sidebar of a story on the oncoming hype for Colt McCoy:

That's an emblem a bigshot Austin advertising firm worked up for the Longhorns' trip to the Rose Bowl in 2005; its sudden appearance three-and-a-half years later, next to a random offseason fluff piece, was an unexplained accident. It caught my eye because, initially, it struck me that Texas was launching a new campaign trading on the nostalgia of its only national champion of the last 35 years as an analogue to the ambitions of the '09 'Horns.

Alas, they're not so bold. But even though that characterization would be presumptuous, yes, it's also in keeping with the general atmosphere of destiny at Texas, given just how much the '05 champions share with the outfit hitting the field this fall:

• Both teams began the season ranked No. 2 (that's a safe assumption for this year's polls when they're released next month), behind a defending national champion (USC in '05, Florida in '09) that returns a stunning array of talent -- including in both cases a Heisman-winning, golden boy quarterback gunning for a final, triumphant exit as a senior (Matt Leinart then, Tim Tebow now; they're even both lefties) -- from a team that beat Oklahoma in Miami for the championship and subsequently swept the preseason polls. If you thought the Trojan hype was over the top then, it will be nothing next to the tongue bath awaiting 13-0 Florida this winter.

• Both teams are coming off a dramatic, come-from-behind win over a Big Ten power in a BCS game (Michigan in the '05 Rose Bowl, Ohio State in the '09 Fiesta Bowl) that cemented an 11-1 record and a top-five finish.

• Both teams yielded three straight division titles to Oklahoma (from 2002-04 and 2006-08) but were slightly favored to end the Sooners' respective runs and take the conference.

• The mythical championship game is back in the Rose Bowl in January.

And of course, most importantly:

• Both teams were led by a Heisman-contending quarterback whose specific, unique skills nearly singlehandedly powered one of the most prolific offenses in the country despite a lack of surrounding talent.

Unofficially, anyway, this is clearly the serendipitous narrative Texas hopes to ride all the way to No. 1 this time around, and as such begs the question: For Texas to fulfill its championship destiny, does Colt McCoy have to be Vince Young?

The VY comparison has followed Colt from the beginning, and it's always been unfair. Nobody can be Vince Young, at least in the sense of being a 6'6", 230-pound mustang who can run circles around even the most talented defenses in the country and put the team on his shoulders seemingly at will. The only heir to that kind of physical absurdity on a current roster (college or pro) is Terrelle Pryor. McCoy, who even on a significantly buffed-up frame still looks like a gangly 14-year-old, could never imitate that kind of looming, intimidating presence; when the inevitable "All-Decade" teams are unveiled at the end of the year, it's very unlikely any of them will consider McCoy over Young if they consider him at all, because he hasn't had -- and seems unlikely to have -- a defining "wow" moment, the kind VY could elicit just striding onto the field.

If not in style, though, it's certainly fair to ask whether McCoy can match Young in substance -- if he hasn't matched him already. This is probably the more appropriate question, since McCoy's junior season was jaw-dropping in its own right: He set the single-season record for completion percentage, had six 300-yard passing games, led the team in rushing and would have easily won the Heisman if the UT defense had hung on after McCoy led the late, go-ahead drive at Texas Tech. He's perhaps the mst robotically accurate, consistent quarterback in modern college history; even if you include Young's five-touchdown masterpiece in the Rose Bowl win over Michigan, McCoy probably has the better resumé going into his final season.

But that's also the rub: Does McCoy have another gear he hasn't demonstrated yet, the extra big play sizzle Young flashed in both Rose Bowl victories and throughout UT's scorched-earth run to the championship? Colt was so good in 2008, so consistent, that it seems frankly impossible for him to actually improve, and even if he matches that record-breaking pace, will that get them over the hurdle that kept the Longhorns out of the promised land last year?

It's not an outrageous stretch to imagine the 'Horns averaging 50 yards and 50 points, just like the dominant '05 team, after putting up 475 yards and 42 points per game last year. But they can't honestly ask more from McCoy or the offense at large than an encore, which would be a fairly spectacular feat in itself. The extra gear, the one nearly imperceptible element that separates a very good season from a miracle year for the ages, is going to have to come from the defense, which was not in the same zip code last year as the '05 unit that finished in the top-10 nationally in total and scoring D under Gene Chizik. The difference is nearly random but crucial: Young doesn't get a chance to weave his now-legendary heroics if the Texas defense doesn't stuff LenDale White on a decisive 4th-and-1 at midfield to prevent USC from running out the clock, and UT almost certainly waltzes undefeated into the national championship game last year if Blake Gideon holds on to the easiest interception ever, or if Curtis Brown and/or Earl Thomas knocks down Graham Harrell's last-second prayer to Michael Crabtree in Lubbock.

Even if we assume Colt McCoy is going to spend the entirety of his senior season operating in a kind of zen-like trance that redefines the concept of "the zone," his ultimate legacy -- as one of the elite quarterbacks of the modern era on one hand or as a smart, tough kid who couldn't lead his team to even one conference championship in four years as a starter on the other -- is not necessarily up to him.

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12 Comments

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  1. Kevin P
    1. Posted by Kevin P Mon Jul 27, 2009 5:03 pm EDT

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    Interesting article. Even as a Horns fan, it is hard to draw parallels between those two teams. This team is good and has potential to be great, but that team had a Defense and Vince!
    Does anyone out there think Florida will lose this year? Last year was a rebuilding year for them :)
  2. michael
    2. Posted by michael Mon Jul 27, 2009 6:54 pm EDT

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    Don't forget that the '05 team had Jamaal Charles & Ramonce Taylor, two running backs that were dangerous and multifaceted. This is an area of glaring concern for us this year. Hopefully Fozzy and Chris whaley will make things interesting. Colt can't get away with being our leading rusher this year; as he goes, we go. Go Horns!!!
  3. G
    3. Posted by G Mon Jul 27, 2009 10:43 pm EDT

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    at most the gators will lose one
    thats all they need to get back on track. it happened in both 06 and last year.
    Florida Gators gonna win it all again
  4. jim m
    4. Posted by jim m Tue Jul 28, 2009 2:06 am EDT

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    first i am not a texas fan... but i must say texas has always had great teams... can't pick one over the others because of the timeframe of each one.... But I have no doubt the best player ever to wear a longhorn uniform...
    Earl Campbell.... one of a kind.... just a Jim Brown was with Cleveland... incredible player for Texas ..Earl the Great.
  5. dfs2477
    5. Posted by dfs2477 Tue Jul 28, 2009 11:00 am EDT

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    I dont see why Texas wont beat OU this season it depends if the slip up against Ok State or a&m. I dont think colt has the skill to single handlely beat florida like vince did against usc haha. but who knows too many things can happen to both right now. Tebow could get hurt and mccoy could easily get hurt. both would be a huge lost for each team.
  6. lori
    6. Posted by lori Tue Jul 28, 2009 1:36 pm EDT

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    I truly hope that the Texas Longhorns get another chance at the Big Dog-either USC or Florida and one of them will be backed by the big media hype machine and Texas will get no respect Again but will Earn IT!!!! After the game the team will be raising their Horns in the air to the Eyes Of Texas!!!!
  7. Kevin P
    7. Posted by Kevin P Tue Jul 28, 2009 5:48 pm EDT

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    My prediction - Texas beats Oklahoma then loses at Okla St. OU wins the south and the conference because they have a better record, Bradford puts up 60+/game, and the Big 12 idiots didn't change the tie-break rule.
    OU loses to Florida again - exact same as last year :)
  8. Larry
    8. Posted by Larry Tue Jul 28, 2009 11:19 pm EDT

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    UT certainly has the players to win everything this year, but any letdown in several games will doom them once again to 2nd fiddle. OU and OSU are primed for strong runs as well, but the team I think everyone is overlooking is Texas Tech. They have been written off as 4th or 5th in the South often, only to "surprise" everyone and end up better than was expected. They could easily do so again. This time, though, it should come as no surprise. It is what they do.
  9. wilcotex
    9. Posted by wilcotex Wed Jul 29, 2009 12:37 am EDT

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    OK Ok while Okie state does look to be pretty strong on Offense this year, thier defense is stil very suspect. Do they have the ability to be a dream breaker for Tx or OU??? Yes, but I still think TX and OU are much better teams and will likely both beat Okie state. I would say OU has a better chance of being upset by them than Texas does just based on history, and yes I know TX plays them in OK this year. I think the the whole "another three way tie in the south" thing is just being hyped up because of what happened last year. Big 12 champion is gonna come down to the winner of the red river shoot out this year.
    As for TT being a surprise??? really? do you really believe that? They lost everyone good on their team. TX gets them in Austin this year. Tx blows TT out this year no doubt. Mike leach may be fun to watch, but he had his day in the sun last year. They will fade back into obscurity now.
    Now A&M.......*sigh*. Every year someone tries to make the point that the TX V A&M game is "always" up in the air. Just because the aggies had a couple fluke wins a few years ago that they wer enot expected to get, does not put this game up in the air. the Aggies will be a decent team again one day, but for now, they will still be lucky to be bowl eligible. Another big win for Texas here.
    As for this article and it's comparison of this years team to the 05 team and the similarities, I think you should look more at the differences. The big one being the defense. As Hinton stated, the 05 team had a great defense. TX defense last year was pretty bad. It is yet to be seen what ole Muschamp has been able to do for this year. I suspect it will be much improved, but will it match the 05 team?
  10. longhornfan
    10. Posted by longhornfan Wed Jul 29, 2009 10:47 am EDT

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    This year's Texas team has everything it needs to go all the way. If not for a dropped interception and then the blown coverage on Michael Crabtree last year, Texas would have another National Championship. Texas matched up better last year with Florida than OU and will do the same this year. Our young secondary is seasoned and primed to do great things this year. The rebuilt defensive line is a bit of a concern, but should do well, especially if Sergio has the breakout season that we all know he is capable of.
    Michael T--There is no reason Texas can't win it all with Colt leading the charge in the rushing department. VY did it in 2005, and that turned out just fine.
    Hook 'em
  11. Jake L
    11. Posted by Jake L Wed Jul 29, 2009 7:51 pm EDT

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    Tx a bad defense??? Every Team in the Big 12 had a suspect defense and it showed in every bowl game...and to be honest there d mite nt be much better this yr with the loses the had on the front 7 ...and dont be knocking on A&M those wins were nt flukes they showed up 2 play those days and texas did nt...A&M will prolly be the surprise in the big 12 they got Texas Baylor and OSU at home and sherman has that team on the rise despite the 4-8 record last yr... and as for the "aggies will be a decent team again one day" comment it wasnt too long ago A&M was THE TEAM in nt just texas but the whole southern part of the nation
  12. texasbigorange
    12. Posted by texasbigorange Thu Jul 30, 2009 4:41 pm EDT

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    When talking about the Texas-Texas Tech game nobody is talking about the time management at the end of the game. Texas could have used another 45 seconds of the clock on their touchdown but not calling the play so quickly. If that is done then Gideon never has a chance to drop the ball. Tech also did not have much of a place kicker.

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