Wed Nov 12, 2008 12:34 pm EST
I can never top Peter Bean's Camus-inspired homage to Kirk Bohls' latest column in the Austin American-Statesman, "Coaches showing Texas no love." But I can't resist, either, when someone who shows so much disdain for computer polls and the process so thoroughly fails to connect the dots beyond his next deadline.
Specifically, Bohls can't understand why the Coaches' Poll ranks one-loss Oklahoma ahead of one-loss Texas for the second week in a row, when Texas just beat Oklahoma by 10 points last month, and that the other final polls might actually fall that way, too:
So why exactly are many of the 61 head football coaches who vote in the USA Today top 25 poll showing Texas no love and ranking Oklahoma above it?
[...]
The Sooners are already on the brink of overtaking the Longhorns [in the BCS], and that's dead wrong.Since when does head-to-head not count? It's like ranking Grenada No. 1 ahead of the United States. Head-to-head results have to be the No. 1 criteria for breaking a deadlock between two teams. All the rest is speculation.
I agree with Bohls and the other AP writers who reversed course and moved UT in front of Oklahoma this week -- check their standing on my own ballot -- and if he had written, "The Sooners have already overtaken the Longhorns in the Coaches' Poll, and that's dead wrong," that would make sense. The coaches are way out of line ranking Oklahoma ahead of Texas right now, because not doing so would be speculation.
Emphasis on right now. Because if voters have no memory, Bohls has no foresight. As it's printed, he seems to be saying OU shouldn't even be on the brink of overtaking Texas after the result in the Cotton Bowl. Presumably, that taboo extends through the rest of the season, even through Oklahoma's potential wins over Texas Tech and Oklahoma State. If head-to-head is so sacrosanct, the "No. 1 criteria for breaking a deadlock," I wonder how Bohls would untangle this head-to-head reality if the Sooners beat Tech next week:
Texas > Oklahoma > Texas Tech > Texas
This isn't wild "speculation" -- the Big 12 South situation won't change before Oklahoma and Tech hook up (both teams are off this week), and Oklahoma will probably open a slight favorite as the home team. To my thinking, the above circle of death the most immediately likely scenario, and if it's not -- if the Raiders win in Norman -- the controversy ends with an undefeated Tech moving on to the conference championship and the two-loss Sooners falling by the wayside. Still, Texas is adrift. And should Texas Tech advance and lose to Missouri for its first loss -- or should Oklahoma move on and get hit with its second loss in the Big 12 title game, still leaving UT and Tech with one loss apiece -- by Bohls' reasoning, Texas is still screwed: one-loss Raiders must trump one-loss Longhorns. You know, scoreboard.
Don't worry so much about the specific hypotheticals. The point is, Bohls is raving over a status quo that is guaranteed to change within two weeks, before the subjectivity of voters or computers can lift or snub anyone in any consequential way. And it's pretty much guaranteed to change in a way Texas fans aren't going to like. If Oklahoma wins its last two games over teams currently in everyone's top-15, the Sooners will probably move ahead of Texas thanks to OU's better non-conference wins, and on to the Big 12 Championship. And with another win there, on to the so-called national championship. Either Oklahoma does it, or Texas Tech will.
Either way, it's as fair as the current system can possibly be, if you just look at the entire schedule. Texas played a non-conference slate of Florida Atlantic, UTEP, Arkansas and Rice and lost its right to complain about Texas Tech's equally soft road (should the need arise) by losing to the Raiders. Until there's a new system -- and bring it on, already -- reality is showing Texas no love. The Coaches' poll vote on Nov. 9 is completely meaningless. The actual results down the stretch are going to box the Lonhorns out all on their own.
Dr. Saturday is a college football blog edited by Matt Hinton. Email him tips and feedback.

Posted Feb 3 2010
RivalsMinute: Bama wins the title
Posted Feb 3 2010
Posted Feb 3 2010
Edited by MJD
Edited by 'Duk
Edited by J.E. Skeets
Edited by Greg Wyshynski
Edited by Matt Hinton
Edited by Chris Chase
Edited by Jay Busbee
Edited by Jay Busbee
Edited by Steve Cofield
Edited by Chris Chase
Edited by Chris Chase
Edited by Brooks Peck
Edited by Andy Behrens
27 Comments
1 - 25 of 27
Report Abuse
Report Abuse
Report Abuse
Report Abuse
thus we can have a narrow playoff which exluded clearly deserving and includes undeserving teams. alternatively we can have a larger playoff which might vitiate the former problem but at the cost of attirition and, in most instances the improtance of the regular season.
Report Abuse
Report Abuse
(By the way -- sucks to be KU this year getting all three heavyweights from the Big XII South)
Report Abuse
And an 8-team playoff wouldn't solve anything here. Assuming there is still a ban on more than two teams from the same conference - a very safe assumption - one of the B12 south triumvirate (if not two, should one lose to, say, Missouri, in the B12 title game) would be left out of the playoff, too.
There is no "fair" solution.
Report Abuse
/what's good for the gander, m'f'ers. See you in the Holiday Bowl.
Report Abuse
Report Abuse
Report Abuse
I think BlogPoll should take over for the Coaches poll in BCS calculations.
Report Abuse
Report Abuse
#7/johnleroi, it's very rare that BCS 6 champs + 2 at-large would leave out any deserving teams. It's extremely rare that 11 Conference champs + 5 at-large, even with a 3 schools per conference limit, would leave out any deserving teams. No playoff system is perfect. But most would be better than what we have now (about the only proposal I really don't like is the 'pure plus one' where you play the 'traditional' bowls and then pick the title game participants, because it almost always gives the same thing the BCS did).
Report Abuse
Report Abuse
Report Abuse
longhorns just get used to it. OU will beat both tech and OSU and leapfrog over you to play in the championship. longhorns are o v e r r a t e d.
Report Abuse
I would trash talk you as being an OU fan but you couldn't be one since you are unaware of these facts. But since you are whining about the refs, you sure sound like one.
Report Abuse
Report Abuse
Report Abuse
Report Abuse
I know that was a lot of what ifs, but this article is almost as ridiculous as Bohls'. If he isn't looking to the future, neither is the Doc. There are so many possibilities yet to unfold, it would be wrong to assume the horns are done.
(Root for Jevan Sneed over Bama, and Bama over Florida...probably more realistic than my other scenario, then just pull for Tech all the way again.)
Report Abuse
please finish elementary school before posting please
Report Abuse
Who cares if Dallas is a litter closer to Norman that Austin. That has nothing to do with anything. The atmosphere in Dallas is PRO longhorn all the way. It's a fallacy that the game is in neutral territory. Its IN DALLAS Einstein.
Plus I WAS in Dallas during the game. I picked up my sister from the game.
I digress though, OU will beat the vastly superior over texass, Texas tech team and get into the championship. There's a reason the coaches poll picks us over texass. shorthorns are overrated.
Report Abuse
Report Abuse
1 - 25 of 27