Dr. Saturday - NCAAF

When all the money goes one way ... Florida opened as a 1.5-point favorite over Oklahoma in the earliest lines Sunday night, and has already been bid up to a three-point favorite in the mythical championship game -- just as well for Bob Stoops, who doesn't need the pressure after losing the last three bowl games OU was favored to win. The smarter bet might be on the over: The line is at just 72 now, down from 73 at opening, for teams that combine to average just shy of 100.

The other games aren't as enticing: USC (-10 over Penn State) and Alabama (-11 over Utah) are double-digit favorites, and Texas (-8 over Ohio State) will probably get there within a few days (it already has on some offshore books). Gambling guru The Wizard of Odds is not happy with this slate, though I suspect everyone is underrating Penn State, a frequent blowout winner, and possibly Utah, too -- the Utes beat three teams in most year-end top 25 polls and definitely are no Hawaii. And look on the bright side: Cincinnati-Virginia Tech is a pick 'em.

Skippy, my boy, where are we going here? It was a schizophrenic Sunday for the Skip Holtz Watch in Syracuse, with the NFL Network claiming late Saturday that Holtz is in, Holtz denying that report through several television stations in North Carolina, Lou Holtz confirming that his son will meet with Syracuse AD Daryl Gross today at National Football Foundation Hall of Fame proceedings, Skip eventually indicating he would "like the opportunity to talk to Gross," Syracuse contacting Kevin Gilbride in the meantime and 'Cuse media wondering if anyone actually wants this job.

So to be clear: Skip Holtz is not the new coach at Syracuse. But it still seems he probably will be, if premature reports don't scare him away.

You're a cold one, Mr. Groh. Christmas at the Groh house should be interesting this year, just a few weeks after Virginia boss Al Groh fired his son, Matt Groh, along with two other assistant coaches. You might remember Matt from his star turn in one of the great games of the nineties, UVA's Thursday night upset over Florida State in 1995. Cav fans are more likely to remember him for leading an offense that failed to finish in the top 100 in any of his three years as coordinator.

It's hard to criticize Groh when so many other coaches -- Bobby Bowden, Joe Paterno, Steve Spurrier, even Lou Holtz, when now-sought-after Skip was his offensive coordinator at South Carolina -- promoted and held on to their kids far longer than their performance warranted. If nepotism is the real problem in college coaching ranks, count Al Groh as a progressive reformist.

Quickly ... Steve Sarkisian will call his own plays at Washington, and make about $1.85 million, more than Dennis Erickson, Rick Neusheisel, Mike Riley, Mike Stoops or Jim Harbaugh. ... Florida offensive coordinator Dan Mullen has spoken with Mississippi State about the MSU opening, and New Mexico has contacted Gator defensive line coach Dan McCarney, late of a head job at Iowa State. ... The outcome of the mythical championship game will have no bearing on Tim Tebow's decision to stay or go from Florida. ... Sam Bradford made it through surgery on his non-throwing hand Sunday morning and was back at Oklahoma's BCS party Sunday night. ... Miami assistant Stephen Field pulls a man from a smoking car, says it's nothing. ... Utah named inside linebackers coach Kalani Sitake its new defensive coordinator. ... Bill Stewart is very pleased, but not satisfied (?) with his first year at West Virginia. ... Tom Osborne says Bo Pelini's first season was fine, just fine. ... Brian Orakpo won the Nagurski Award, which is like that one trophy, but for defense. ... And the Austin American-Statesman knows how you voted, Mike Leach.

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13 Comments

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  1. allhailcale
    1. Posted by allhailcale Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:58 pm EDT

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    "Utah is no Hawaii?" Are we sure about that? Seems to me like they're getting much more credit than did the Warriors, but at the same time, people expect this to be a more competitive Sugar Bowl than a year ago. Does everyone really think that 07 Georgia is that much better than 08 Alabama, or does Utah just have a greater "benefit of the doubt" ratio?
  2. gtne91
    2. Posted by gtne91 Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:43 pm EDT

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    Utah has been seen entering the stadium with quality opponents. And they exited winners. Oregon St, TCU and BYU may not be national championship contenders but they are very good teams. Not to mention Michi...no wait, no reason to bring that up.
  3. Al
    3. Posted by Al Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:56 pm EDT

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    Worst bowl games ever across the board, the best team in the country is the USC trojans and they are going to totally destroy Penn State. Very dissapointing.
  4. adam
    4. Posted by adam Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:46 pm EDT

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    Either that gator fan could see the future, or we've had some photoshop fun. Also, is that Kenny Rodgers in the crowd?
  5. mikel g
    5. Posted by mikel g Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:19 pm EDT

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    i pity anyone who puts money on any piss poor sec team. defense? in the sec? this year? watch games and learn. send the money to me and save yerselves time watching.
  6. SpartanDan
    6. Posted by SpartanDan Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:11 pm EDT

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    Allhailcale: Utah played a far tougher schedule than Hawaii did last year. Before the SEC title game, Utah's strength of schedule was dead even with Alabama's (now Bama's ahead a bit, of course). Hawaii's schedule last year was not only dead last in 1-A, it wouldn't have been top 30 in 1-AA.
  7. Matt H
    7. Posted by Matt H Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:27 pm EDT

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    Adam: Apparently he could see the future, unless wire services are using Photoshop now.
  8. thronedoggie
    8. Posted by thronedoggie Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:08 pm EDT

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    #3 - Uh, Penn State toasted the school that cooked the Trojans (but, to be fair, this was before Jaquizz's coming-out party)
    #4 - ANYBODY could see that coming. In fact, everybody already did - I only saw one bowl projection by any paid-type blogger or columnist who DIDN'T see OK/UF in the championship game.
    #6 Those strength-of-schedule numbers always involve an "algorithm" which seems to be more of a heuristic, since so often the different indexes come up with hugely different numbers.
  9. allhailcale
    9. Posted by allhailcale Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:58 pm EDT

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    i wonder: if bama beats utah in a fashion akin to what uga did to hawaii last year, will utah be still be passed off as overrated and outclassed? i don't seem to remember hawaii being overrated until they got their butts handed to them in the sugar bowl. it seems to me that this is all point of view, lol....
  10. Alaska Hokie
    10. Posted by Alaska Hokie Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:36 pm EDT

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    Is there any school with a more patient administration than Virginia? If Al Groh had done what Tuberville did, Virginia would've kept Groh until the sun burned out.
  11. Shaun
    11. Posted by Shaun Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:44 pm EDT

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    I really wanna know something..How long has Percy Harvin been at Fla??Is he like a 4 year Soph.. or something YES I SAID SOPH!!!!!
  12. Smokin Joe Fraze
    12. Posted by Smokin Joe Fraze Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:45 pm EDT

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    #11 Shaun, Percy is a 3rd year Junior. He averaged 10.4 yards per carry his Freshman year and 12.6 per catch. 9.2 per carry his Sophomore year with 14.5 per cath. 8.8 per carry this season with 17 yards per catch. 9 rushing TD's and 7 receiving this year. Percy Harvin, if not on FL would be the ONLY player up for Heisman this year that is not a QB. He is the most explossive player in College Football. Thank you so much VA for the #1 WR recruit in the nation who turned out to also be one of the top RB's as well.
  13. Asleep until further notice
    13. Posted by Asleep until further notice Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:49 pm EDT

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    Really, the only question is if the Gators can prevent Oklahoma from scoring 60 points against them. Really.

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