Dr. Saturday - NCAAF

Comes word today via The Sporting News' SportsBusiness Daily that ESPN is only a few days from wresting Bowl Chamionship Series rights from Fox when the current BCS television deal ends in 2010:

The BCS is considering a proposal from ESPN that would see all BCS bowl games, including the championship game, wind up on ESPN, sources familiar with the negotiations are saying.
[...]
Sources say Fox still has another five days to accept the BCS' proposal, which is seeking about a 50% annual increase over the current deal's $82.5 million annual fee. The BCS is looking for a four-year, $500 million deal, which would put the average annual payout at around $125 million.

Fox has proposed a 25% increase, which would average a little more than $102 million per year. Though Fox still has several days to match, insiders say it is not likely to increase its bid by enough.
[Emphasis added]

The main issue here is not exactly "OMG BCS on cable" (come on, everybody has cable, and the digital switchover in a few months will end over-the-air dominance, anyway). Nor is it "No playoffs until 2015." That's already the case; any playoff proponent hoping for 2015 is overly optimistic. Playoffs are inevitable -- the entire trajectory of the sport for the last 25 years is toward a playoff, and coaches and presidents alike (even the new president) are making their cases for a playoff in very public ways -- but no matter what the short-term situation with the BCS, a legitimate bracket is still a good decade away.

From a pro-playoff perspective, though, the real consequence of a ridiculously lucrative deal between the BCS and the Worldwide Leader is the potential for the playoff argument to disappear altogether from the discourse of the sport's most visible, agenda-setting media giant. With no major corporate stake in the Series or the legitimacy of The National Championship Game as an actual championship game, playoff talk gets bandied about pretty regularly on ESPN's various outlets. It comes up on GameDay and studio segments with Rece, Lou and Mark; Kirk Herbstreit has gone out of his way for years to argue on-air for a "Plus One," the bridge to a playoff (or a mini-playoff in itself, depending on your definition of "Plus One") in a less revolutionary guise. Even if it comes out in half-baked form, the concept of a playoff still exists in the mainstream discourse for the average fan who tunes in to College Football Live or GameDay Final, or to any random game wherein Chris Spielman or Andre Ware or somebody might bring it up. Online, Pat Forde was setting up hypothetical brackets just last week.

But corporations are usually loathe to allow employees to pull the legs from underneath a $500 million investment. My concern as playoff advocate is that the Worldwide Leader -- which really is that, in terms of influence and agenda-setting -- will start to look like a more slickly-produced, less obvious version of the shameless BCS home page, which currently features the following "headlines":

BCS system best for college football
  • Playoff taking place right now
  • Officials: BCS too healthy to change
  • No desire to see BCS format grow
  • Playoff smayoff! We don't need it

Fox, while keeping Barry Alvarez around to play up the "magic of the bowl experience" as often as possible over the air, is not that monolithic about it online. Maybe that lack of empire-wide discipline is an effect of whatever the reason is that it's about to lose a cash cow to the kings of top-down synergy -- or just of the effects of nobody reading or watching Fox's college football coverage outside of the actual BCS broadcasts.

Maybe not; maybe playoff talk doesn't undermine the profitability of the BCS and the WWL will allow its playoff advocates free reign in the name of maintaining pundit integrity. And if you can't swallow that, at least we won't have to endure a thousand consecutive cutaways to the Kansas band during the Orange Bowl. It may be a bottom line-obsessed monolith, but ESPN can produce a football game.

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  1. anburdell
    1. Posted by anburdell Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:53 pm EDT

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    I don't have cable, (poor graduate student) and I'm as obsessed a college fan as you'll find. I'm hoping the ESPN@ABC thing continues, or I'll be screwed.
  2. CuseFanInSoCal
    2. Posted by CuseFanInSoCal Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:48 pm EDT

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    Y'know, if Fox had tried to work out some synergy with the BCS bowls by getting into regular season college football coverage (note here -- the Big East and Pac 10 have terrible TV deals; a Big East game of the week and a Pac 10 game of the week wouldn't produce Big Ten/SEC/Big 12 type ratings numbers, but would be a lot better than what they currently waste Saturday afternoons showing), they'd have some practice with this whole 'college football' thing before the BCS bowls, and might be able to produce them better.
  3. Greg R
    3. Posted by Greg R Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:13 pm EDT

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    You make a good point regarding the independence of the announcers at ESPN if this deal is struck. You can carry it further to wonder how the teams from conferences whose primary TV package favors CBS, NBC or FSN will be "discussed" and rated in the broadcast shows. Whose to say that an SEC/CBS team doesn't get slight over a solid Big 12/ABC team when the announcers rate the teams weekly.
  4. _
    4. Posted by _ Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:33 pm EDT

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    I can only imagine how bad ESPN would ruin the most important bowl games with their broadcasting.
  5. charlie ,S
    5. Posted by charlie ,S Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:00 pm EDT

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    its a good thing mickey mouse is in disney world becouse his arm is so heavey he can,t even get out of bed without hurting his big toe-he got a big raise when minnie touched his knee so we will have baby mice here very soon--goofy is throwing a big party this weekend at berneys--but its a byob thats ok though becouse i only drink milk it does the body good.
  6. GorgeForeman
    6. Posted by GorgeForeman Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:38 pm EDT

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    ESPN deserves most of the criticism it gets but something it does expertly is broadcast college football and college basketball games. The announcers are, on the whole, pretty good, and the studio talent knows the game. They treat all games and all programs as being worthy of their attention and focus and the production quality is probably second only to CBS, which only has to focus on one or two games a week.
    FOX's coverage has been awful, caused, no doubt and referenced above, in part by the fact that they do no college games until the very end of the season. It reminds me when networks used to piece together broadcast teams on New Year's Day (I still remember a Cotton Bowl during which Terry Bradshaw repeatedly said things like, "I don't know what the rule is in college, but..." (I'm almost certain both he and Jim Nantz were drunk).
    ESPN will do a much, much better job of actually showing the games. And, as Doc says, the playoff thing is going to happen, no matter any adjustments in the tenor of the arguments of various on-air talent there.
  7. The Heffalump
    7. Posted by The Heffalump Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:05 pm EDT

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    I hope that playoffs never happen. That being said, I'm sorry that the debate for or against a playoff system is not held among fans but rather at the mercy of the opinion of an elite few bolstered by an almost complete monopoly over the terms of the debate. I think both sides need to be heard and then judged upon the merits of their arguements rather than be subject to the whim of current media wisdom.... wait. I mean we should vote on it or something and then let computers decide who's right. Yes. That would be fine with me.
    Actually I am a playoff opponent though I have to agree that a playoff system is inevitable. I would have thought that the doors on a college playoff were shut after last years NFL season but apparently college fans are not fazed when a league crowns a 6 loss team over a 1 loss team. If that didn't sway opinion then nothing will. College fans will have to learn to understand the concept of "winning when it matters."
  8. Eddie P
    8. Posted by Eddie P Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:08 pm EDT

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    i don't need a "true national champion." i just want the best 17 saturdays that sports have to offer. the first time we hear about a team resting its starters is the day that college football has died.
    it really is quite simple. win your games. once you lose, you have surrendered your fate to the voters. complaining about your ranking after that is simply whining.
  9. A Yahoo! User
    9. Posted by A Yahoo! User Wed Nov 12, 2008 5:02 am EST

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    The problem with the BCS is that it's a half-measure. They changed from the old system promising to match up the two best teams each year; half the time no one knows who the best two teams are at the end of the year. A plus one solves the problem without teams being able to sneak in with 6 losses. You've got to go to that, or go back to the old system and just let the polls decide, to have a decent system. Unfortunately, while the system sucks, it makes a ton of money, so won't change any time soon.
    I think ESPN may take the opposite tack here--controversy sells. One of the reasons the BCS is such a money maker is that the controversy sparks interest. People talking about you is always good, whether it is good or bad. ESPN will probably stoke the fires even MORE if they have the rights to the BCS games, because it'll further the storylines for that year and grab viewers.
  10. Matt L
    10. Posted by Matt L Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:23 pm EDT

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    I don't have cable, and there are lots more I know who also don't have it. This cable crap is ruining my weekend to be able to watch sports. Just because signals are going digital doesn't mean you have to buy cable. I believe the government has given millions of HD converter box coupons out. That tells me a lot of people don't plan on going with cable, and with the economy being as poor as it is, I would think more will be dropping cable until things get better. Wakeup editor Matt Hinton. Yahoo must pay you well.
  11. SC_Gator
    11. Posted by SC_Gator Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:52 pm EDT

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    actually, cable is projected to continue to grow (in terms of subscribers) at 2-3 percent over the next two years, down a bit from the 5% expected pre-economic crisis. satellite does a bit better, with a projected growth rate of about 4-5 percent, which is down from the expected 8-9% planned.
  12. CuseFanInSoCal
    12. Posted by CuseFanInSoCal Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:48 pm EDT

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    #8, even with a 16-team playoff, resting starters late in the season against a quality opponent (resting starters against lesser opponents is already commonplace) is going to be rare. For teams in mid-major conferences, failing to win their conference is an almost certain ticket out of the playoffs. For teams in contention for an at-large spot, well... with only five of them, no one can take the chance that another loss would cost them their spot. Maybe teams that have wrapped up their conference early would do some of this... but can you really imagine Ohio State resting its starters against Michigan under any circumstances at all?
  13. Brandon
    13. Posted by Brandon Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:43 pm EDT

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    I'm not sure this will make all that much difference. I don't remember ESPN commentators holding back on calling for playoffs when ABC had the contract before FOX didn. I might be wrong, but I think Herbstreit and Co. will continue to call for a playoff.
  14. Brian P
    14. Posted by Brian P Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:13 pm EDT

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    If you don't want a playoff you are not a true fan.Championships are won on the field not on the inside of a computer program
  15. turner
    15. Posted by turner Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:23 pm EDT

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    While some of the BCS games would likely be shown on ESPN, I would imagine the championship itself, and possibly one or 2 of the other games, would be shown on ABC. I heard somewhere that ESPN's first showing of Monday Night Football was, at the same time, the HIGHEST RATED cable football game of all time, as well as the LOWEST RATED Monday Night game of all time, clearly showing that far more people still watch the networks over any cable station. I'm curious to know how the ratings of this year's ALCS compared with the past. As a Rays fan and one without cable, I was outraged that it was shown on cable.
  16. Buck
    16. Posted by Buck Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:53 pm EDT

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    Loved the monkey satire! I really think that is how it works...
  17. MUNCHIES MAN.. WHO'S GOT DA MUNCHIES???
    17. Posted by MUNCHIES MAN.. WHO'S GOT DA MUNCHIES??? Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:43 pm EDT

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    For those who are wishing for a playoff system, the ncaa & the bcs thank you.
    you are doing just what everyone wants you to do, talk about college football. the more you talk about it, the more revenue that the sport generates. you see how long it took college football to come up with the bcs and then the championship game. keep on talking about playoffs and they will keep on making more money.
    there were arguments against the bcs stating that it would upset the tradition of the bowl games. that was only said to up the tv package money. and what about the championship game? well money again. the bcs will never fix itself so people will continue to talk about the sport. more talk means more money.
    we talk about college football all year around. we talk about signing recruits and new coaches from january to august. then we start talking about the race for the national championship and the heisman trophy from august until january. the systems is desinged to generate interest which will generate revenue.
    hey!!! who's got da munchies???
  18. Derek
    18. Posted by Derek Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:22 pm EDT

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    Plus one would have been great in 2003, so USC could have beaten Auburn and I wouldn't have to hear Auburn fans whine incessantly about not even sharing the championship (PS: ROLL TIDE!)
  19. troy
    19. Posted by troy Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:06 pm EDT

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    no matter what happens to bcs its still screwed, do away goto playoffs
  20. Christopher
    20. Posted by Christopher Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:20 pm EDT

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    People complaining about cable is funny to me. Matt L saying that the editor must make big bucks cause he has cable. If your on this site then maybe you should swap your internet for cable, and if your on this site while at work, maybe you should focus on work instead. Maybe then youll get that extra 40 bucks a month raise, and you too can enjoy the greatness that is cable.. Im all for the bcs being broadcasted on ESPN. It is a rare occasion that you find my tv on any other channel.
  21. john
    21. Posted by john Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:05 pm EDT

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    it's insane there's no playoff system. every sport in college has a playoff. how can you have a true champion without a playoff? teams that battle through a good conference, ending up with 2 losses give way to teams with cupcake schedules, such as usc and the big ten. even the big 12 has some legitimacy, except for oklahoma's annual over-hype (losing to boise state and whoever else they play in the bowls). we saw what happened when ohio state was given the nod. what a joke. these bowls could still call themselves a bowl only it'll be a playoff game and will probably have more revenue because they games will be guaranteed to be competitive. a lot of these teams get to a bowl after 45 days off and suck. having a real sport like football left in the hands of writers and journalists, who have no clue what it takes to be on the field, is a slap in face to every guy who suits up and puts their health on the line. truth be told they don't want a playoff because they are afraid that one conference will dominate year after year and that wouldn't bode well for their precious usc, michigan, ohio state, or notre dame, even though they prove year after year they are all lame, especially this year. let usc line up against florida, georgia, lsu, alabama, week after week and see how they do. the mighty "beavers" withstanding, of course.
  22. Mike M
    22. Posted by Mike M Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:26 pm EDT

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    #14, Brian, a slightly ingorant comment. It's funny, because I tend to think the people who are for a playoff are the ones who are not a "true" fan. The current system IS pretty good. We DO settle it on the field. It's the two teams who play in the title game. NOT having a playoff is one of the things that DOES make college football more exciting than any other college sport.
    Ask yourself, what is THE most exciting and watched and attended college sport? -Answer - College Football.
    Ask yourself, what division of college football does NOT have a playoff? -Answer - Division 1A.
    What does that tell you?
    By the way, track,&field golf, swimming&diving do NOT have a playoff either. But they still 'settle it on the field'.
  23. Kentucky
    23. Posted by Kentucky Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:10 pm EDT

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    I don't have cable and I have the means to have it. Outside of sports, I don't watch TV so I would prefer it to be on OTA HDTV
  24. A Yahoo! Contributor
    24. Posted by A Yahoo! Contributor Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:53 pm EDT

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    #21, a small playoff of 8 teams is only fair to teams in tough conferences like the SEC and Big-12. The Big-10 and Pac-10 are unbelievably weak this year, and there are a number of teams from SEC and Big-12 that can finish undefeated if they were in the Big-10 or Pac-10. Don't even mention about USC being the road block because they did lose to Oregon State, so anything is possible.
    Comparing with Division 1A to make your argument is just ridiculous and sad. Are you out of reasons against a playoff system? Big schools with traditions bring in the audience, and just about all of them want a playoff system to prevent their teams being left out due to the flaws of the crappy BCS system.
    With weak conferences like PAC 10 and BIG 10, you can't even find an undefeated team. How can you honestly pick out the best 2 teams to determine a champion? I say either do away with the "national champion" title all together or abolish the wacky BCS system. Most people do not agree with the "champions" resulted under the BCS system because there are always a few of teams that got left out due to bias of polls or computer formulas.
    This year along, Utah being undefeated has beat more quality teams than USC has, but they are not ranked higher than USC because of the system. A playoff system allows good teams a chance to prove themselves. It is unlikely that teams that played each other in the regular season will meet again in an 8-team playoff system. But if that happens, it would only be for the championship game and it proves that conference is so much better than others.
  25. INeedALover
    25. Posted by INeedALover Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:57 pm EDT

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    "We DO settle it on the field. It's the two teams who play in the title game." Yeah right. That's why we don't know who the real champion is in 2003, because an undefeated and deserving Auburn team was denied the right to play for it on the field.

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