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Xs and Os on Saturday's Florida-LSU showdown from the proprietor of the essential Smart Football.

There's another side to the will-he won't-he drama surrounding Tim Tebow's prospects of suiting up this Saturday when Florida takes on LSU: Will this be the coming-out party for quarterback John Brantley, not as just as the Gators' quarterback of the future, but, as some believe, college football's next great quarterback? This week provides the perfect opportunity to take a closer look at how Urban Meyer might readjust his offense to take advantage of Brantley's more traditional set of skills if he's the man at LSU, and how Tebow's absence changes how the Gators will attack.

To use Isaiah Berlin's phrase, Tim Tebow is a fox: He does everything well. No running quarterback on the college level has ever been a better passer, or if you prefer, no passing quarterback has ever been a better runner. In 2007-08, Tebow passed for more than 6,000 yards and accounted for 97 total touchdowns (62 passing, 35 rushing) while finishing in the top four nationally in pass efficiency and leading his team in rushing both seasons. Such extreme versatility is the key: Tebow lacks the kind of breakaway speed of past great running quarterbacks like Tommie Frazier, and though I think his passing abilities are often underrated, no one would say he's a truly polished passer. His proficiency in both areas, though, puts defenses in binds attempting to defend the range of his skills. More than anything, it's that incredible ambidexterity that fuels the Gators offense: It can do it all, because Tebow can.

But if Tebow is a fox, Brantley is a hedgehog: He is a classic pocket passer, and that's what he does well. A star recruit out of Ocala, Fla., Brantley has inspired not only early faith among his teammates, but also hyperbolic commentary from the faithful that, had Tebow left for the NFL, Brantley still would have been the second-best quarterback in the SEC coming into the year, behind only Jevan Snead at Ole Miss. Yet, no matter how talented he is, Brantley still has to find a way to fit into Urban Meyer's run-first spread, designed for foxes like Tebow.

Scheme stability. While Meyer and offensive coordinator Steve Addazio will tweak the system for Brantley, anyone who expects them to download the nearest NFL playbook and go "pro-style" is fooling himself. Florida's offense will look much the same: Plenty of shotgun, plenty of varying formations, plenty of motion, and, yes, even plenty of option. I haven't seen a lot of Brantley but he's not a total stiff, so I can't imagine that Meyer will simply throw all of that stuff out -- too much of his offense is built on making the quarterback some kind of threat to run.

But there will be different points of emphasis: The speed option will become less a way to get the quarterback in space, as it is with Tebow, than as a cheap way to get Chris Rainey or Jeffrey Demps on the perimeter. (This is similar to how Gus Malzahn uses the speed option at Auburn with non-running threat Chris Todd.) The "veer" plays will likely be set up so that the defense will be more likely to take on the quarterback and thus free the runningback; and expect Meyer to use a healthy dose of his famous shovel play, as the defense tends to go for the quarterback, thus allowing him to shovel it upfield to either a trailing running back or even Aaron Hernandez, the Gators' talented tight end.

If he starts in Baton Rouge, Brantley's role in Florida's offense will harken back to the traditional role of the spread quarterback as distributor, where the premium is on getting the ball to speedy guys in space, as opposed to Tebow's role as rhinocerous-in-chief. Addazio, who took over for Meyer's longtime right-hand man, Dan Mullen, has served as Florida's offensive line coach throughout his tenur in Gainesville, and I'd imagine he will put the onus on those front guys to carry the day.

New horizons. The most intriguing Gators staff member is not Addazio or even Meyer: It's quarterbacks coach Scott Loeffler, a transplant from Michigan by way of the NFL. Some of the preseason talk was that Loeffler was there to help Tebow get ready for the pros, but the smart money guessed he was really there for Brantley, the type of pocket guy he was used to dealing with. Loeffler is considered one of the game's better teachers of a timed, rhythm passing game, an area the Gators haven't focused on, but at which Brantley will have to excel. Tebow, hampered by a depleted receiving corps, struggled in the one game this season against a defense determined to give Florida the outside pass and take away the inside game. To exploit that tendency, Brantley will not only have to employ his considerable arm strength and accuracy, he will also have to use his ability to read defenses and throw on time.

An example: One of Loeffler's favorite plays also happens to be one of Peyton Manning's favorite plays in Indianapolis: The levels pass. (The irony of the Gators winning with a Manning favorite is either subversive or delicious, take your pick -- though Meyer's good friend Bill Belichick also uses the play in New England.) The concept itself is quite simple: Various receivers run a "square-in" route at different depths -- i.e. different levels. The innermost receiver (in the example below, the tight end) runs the square-in at around 12 yards, though it can be as deep as fifteen. The two outside receivers run square-ins at about five yards deep. To the single receiver side Loeffler likes to package another concept with levels, in this case, the curl/flat.

The tricks to making the play work are, first, the routes are all timing based, and so they must be thrown on true rhythm -- the quarterback must take his drop, his back foot must hit and he must throw the ball to his first read or else reset his feet and look for his second read; there is no time to sit there and wait and wait for a receiver to break open. The second is that the quarterback's progression is actually dictated by the coverage, meaning that he will look at a completely different set of receivers depending on how the defense plays. Indeed, while much of Urban Meyer's run game is based on how many deep safeties the defense employs, this is an even bigger part of Loeffler's pass attack. This is not to say Meyer ignored "counting the safeties" before, but Loeffler puts a big premium on it. So if the defense plays a two-deep -- i.e. cover two -- then Brantley must read the levels side: (1) The tight-end on the deep square-in; (2) The innermost short five-yard in; and (3) The outside receiver on the five-yard in. The diagram below shows why: Against cover two, Brantley would first read the middle linebacker. If he stays shallow, the deep in is open behind him. If he drops back, then Brantley throws the quick route to the inside receiver. If the middle linebacker drops but the strongside linebacker ("S") collapses down to take away the inside receiver, then the outside receiver should be open. It's that simple, and notice how basic the throws are: All right in front of the quarterback.

But what if the defense plays with a single-safety back? Brantley's reads change considerably. Now he only will throw the square-in if it is wide-open for some reason, and really he looks at him as he begins his dropback simply to hold the safety as well as any interior defenders who might be keying his eyes. But instead of looking at the short in routes, Brantley would look to the backside curl-to-flat combination. The idea is that the running back, by running wide to the sideline, would force the weakside linebacker to widen, thus opening up a passing window to throw the ball to the split end on a curl route, as shown below. The curl receiver's job is to sell like he is going deep either on a go or to the post, and to keep his body between him and the quarterback. If Brantley makes his reads right, it's that simple.

Of course defenses in the SEC try to disguise their coverages so it is not always so obvious if they are in one-high or two-high, which is what makes quarterbacking a challenge. But the Gators coaches are high on Brantley's ability to make these reads, and if he is the pro prospect they say he is, he'll have success.

Of course, all this might become moot this weekend if Tim Tebow is cleared or pulls off some kind of "Hoosiers" moment by running out of the tunnel at the last second to take command of his team -- or, better yet, emerging fully dressed just before the second-half kickoff with his team trailing 17-7, only to lead them to victory. Theatrics aside, and going beyond this weekend next, Florida will be John Brantley's team next year, and the above quick distribution spread with a heavy dose of sophisticated passing will likely become the team's hallmark in a post-Tebow era, as unfathomable as that might sound after the last three years. If Tebow's not ready to go Saturday, it may have to be the hallmark now to get out of one of the toughest environments in the country with all the season's lofty goal intact.

- - -
Chris Brown writes the strategy and philosophy site Smart Football and also contributes to the New York Times' Fifth Down blog. You can reach him at chris at smartfootball.com, or follow him on Twitter.

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21 Comments

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  1. Peter D
    1. Posted by Peter D Thu Oct 08, 2009 12:42 pm EDT

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    my head hurts from reading that. thanks
  2. Tim
    2. Posted by Tim Thu Oct 08, 2009 12:56 pm EDT

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    Good article, but this sounds like it was written for heavy linking purposes next year. I want to hear what they might do this Saturday. Can they actually practice this enough to get good at it in time? If LSU tries the Tennessee gameplan (and is actually able to execute it) will Brantley be forced to carry the game with his arm like Tebow carried it with his tireless runs? Do they need better play at WR to make this work or is the system good enough?
  3. A!
    3. Posted by A! Thu Oct 08, 2009 1:32 pm EDT

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    "No running quarterback on the college level has ever been a better passer, or if you prefer, no passing quarterback has ever been a better runner"
    Doc... making such statements is just irresponsible and feeds hype to the PR machine of the Wealthy Preacher's Child.
    Dan LaFevour and Matt Grothe have put up numbers to contest that claim, and they have done so in the exact same time span. I'm not saying that both of these QB's are better than the Child, but they are at about the same level.
    The differences are that LaFevour and Grothe play at schools with:
    1. substantially lower resources AND overall football tradition.
    2. lack of exposure- the SEC has two networks almost exclusively dedicated to promoting its brand, while the MAC resides in the shadows of the Big Ten and the Big East is being challenged by the Mt West in the BCS pecking order.
    3. Though they face lesser competition week-to-week, they also have far less talent around them... namely in the offensive line.
  4. DimitriN
    4. Posted by DimitriN Thu Oct 08, 2009 1:48 pm EDT

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    Great article, but the phrase about the fox and the hedgehog is first attributed to the ancient Greek poet Archilochus.
  5. Michael K
    5. Posted by Michael K Thu Oct 08, 2009 2:07 pm EDT

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    A!:
    Let me preface this by saying, I am not an SEC homer at all; I dislike the constant chest beating by SEC partisans and I'm very very tired of the Tebow hype. That said:
    LeFevour: He has not matched Tebow's stats, even playing against competition that is nowhere near the level of competition Tebow has faced. Yes, he's got less impressive talent around him, but they're playing against lesser competition. Tebow has more skill around him and he's facing defenses with much, much more skill than anything LeFevour's ever faced. Your third point is an admitted wash, for both QBs. Lesser talent on both sides of the ball will tend to even out.
    Grothe: I can't believe you seriously made this comparison. Grothe is a great runner, but he regularly throws devastating interceptions and has a terrible completion rate. Also, in regards to the competition, same argument stands: lesser talent on both sides evens out.
    Personally, I'd argue for Dennis Dixon, Alex Smith, and maybe Eric Crouch as Tebow's equals in the combination running/passing game, but that's just me.
  6. bob
    6. Posted by bob Thu Oct 08, 2009 2:47 pm EDT

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    nice rebuttle Michael K. you right, A! is just a hater. that said, Eric Crouch? come on. take away a trick-play reception and he isn't even remembered in Nebraska
  7. Adam
    7. Posted by Adam Thu Oct 08, 2009 2:52 pm EDT

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    Jeremiah Masoli?
  8. genius_man16
    8. Posted by genius_man16 Thu Oct 08, 2009 3:00 pm EDT

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    Don't forget Tommie Frazier. He was a great passer, probably underrated even.
  9. genius_man16
    9. Posted by genius_man16 Thu Oct 08, 2009 3:02 pm EDT

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    @ bob: Are you serious? Please don't make such ignorant comments about players and their fans when you have no idea what you're talking about. Thanks.
  10. Valhalla360
    10. Posted by Valhalla360 Thu Oct 08, 2009 6:07 pm EDT

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    So, if Brantley comes in and florida is dominant, does that mean The Great Teabow is just a product of the system and being surounded by great talent? QB more than any other position is a function of how good the players around them are.
    In reality, if Brantley gets the start, I expect the offense to drop off a notch or two. Still not sure if that will result in a loss (I think LSU is good but still overrated), but you don't change the basic makeup of the offense mid season and expect to do so flawlessly.
  11. bustednbroke81
    11. Posted by bustednbroke81 Thu Oct 08, 2009 6:09 pm EDT

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    dan lefevour and matt grothe are ''about on the same level as tebow'' ?you sir can't be serious or you're a complete idiot.. as ''michael k ''already said the stats arent even close and the level of competition is extremely far from ''1 in the same'' Tebow MIGHT have a few people that have been close to all around similar but matt grothe and lefevour are just absolute horrible qbs when compared with tebow and you lost all credibility when stating such.
  12. Michael
    12. Posted by Michael Thu Oct 08, 2009 7:25 pm EDT

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    Nice article. Interesting to read and great content. Too bad people like peter d don't know how to read intellectual posts like this one. Go gators
  13. Aaron
    13. Posted by Aaron Thu Oct 08, 2009 9:15 pm EDT

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    Not a Tebow fan or an SEC fan, but I would really like if we stop arguing about the levels of competition and realize that it is just not the same. Central Michigan, USF, Boise State, Hawaii and the rest play nobodys, period end of discussion. I don't know if this will change in the near future but as it stands hall of famers and first round picks come from "BCS" schools for a reason. These schools have great traditions, insanely loyal fan bases, and boosters who whether by hook or crook get the best high school prospects to play there. The "BCS" guys as a general rule are better much in the same way the kids that get into Standford are smarter than the kids at CalState LA.
  14. Hubert
    14. Posted by Hubert Thu Oct 08, 2009 9:20 pm EDT

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    We all know Tebow is the best college Quarterback to ever play College Football.
    If Florida can move the ball at all, they will beat LSU. LSU has no Offense; but a very
    good Defense.
  15. just4funsies
    15. Posted by just4funsies Thu Oct 08, 2009 9:26 pm EDT

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    Good article, but as usual, the mere mention of TT brings out the brainless haters, and then the rabid supporters. I wish it would just end. Fact is, TT isn't bothered by the haters, so he doesn't need a defense. I don't know why you fools waste your time with all the verbal diarrhea...
  16. Timothy
    16. Posted by Timothy Thu Oct 08, 2009 10:42 pm EDT

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    When it comes right down to it, it won't matter who quarterbacks Florida. The run game and the ability to stop the run will determine this game. Before you say it, even if Tebow plays he is not going to be allowed to run the ball like a mad man. Old fashion smash mouth football is whats going to take this game. On another note, this game is way overhyped. The winner of this game will not go straight to the SEC championship or the national championship. Win or lose either team can still run the table and take the national championship. The national chapion will be decided in Atlanta when the SEC has it's championship game.
  17. Big Jim
    17. Posted by Big Jim Fri Oct 09, 2009 1:35 am EDT

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    I am NOT a gator fan. Don't like them at all, but I really like Tebow. I believe he is geniune. He is a refreshing change from the norm. I like him and hope he goes to the NFL and stays like he is now. It would be nice to have somebody Like Tebow for the kids to look up to. It is nice to know you don't have to be on Americas Most Wanted to be a hero for the kids. I don't think of Tebow as Superman, but I think of him as Clark Kent... which is better than Superman any day. Good Luck Tebow and Meyer you better make the right decision and let Tebow get well.
  18. havocx1969
    18. Posted by havocx1969 Fri Oct 09, 2009 8:34 am EDT

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    Has anyone ever seen TT lay down and quit? I think he is the most refreshing persona in sports. He has more than proven himself as one of the best QBs to ever play college football. Even if he doesn't play vs LSU just his presence on the sideline will bolster the confidence of his teammates. His leadership abilities, dedication and all-out self sacrifice is enough to win any game against anyone. If you hate that in a person or a person like that then you have serious issues.
  19. TuCkFeBoW
    19. Posted by TuCkFeBoW Fri Oct 09, 2009 8:57 am EDT

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    Hubert, if Timmy was the best college QB ever, then explain to me why all the experts are picking him to go in the 2nd to 3rd round in the draft?.....geez,some of you gatenoobs need to wake up.Do you guys honestly think that all that talent went to uf because of Herban or because the surroundings are the best?? Money is what got all that talent there,yes uf pays it's recruits as do most schools.Remember Chris "I get wads of cash" Rainey??? The money train is slowing there and so will the dominance.....
  20. Eddie V
    20. Posted by Eddie V Fri Oct 09, 2009 12:21 pm EDT

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    Dang, Clear H. Nobody said that Tebow would work well in the pros. Obviously he would face much harder hitters. He would face better defenses, better offenses. He would face professional head hunters, bone thugs, thugs for life etc. He would also have to learn the pro set offense. However, he would be perfect for the Miami Dolphins. Why? The wildcat. That is an offense set up by Nick Saban. It proved very successful for the Dolphins last year as they won the divisional title. The Dolphins need a leader at Quarterback. You don't have to heave the ball 60 yards, instead just provide so many threats that the defense is spread thin. Tebow, just knock Ray Lewis out.
  21. Eddie V
    21. Posted by Eddie V Fri Oct 09, 2009 12:35 pm EDT

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    Dr. Sat., I think you talk alot of garbage and overthink things. You think the GATORS are without depth and talent without Tebow. Why?

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