Dr. Saturday - NCAAF

As usual, your football reading should begin with Smart Football, whose championship roundup includes SF's recent breakdown of Urban Meyer's offense, notes on Oklahoma's clobbering of Texas Tech and thoughts on what it means to be a "national champion," anyway.

AccuScore has simulated the game 10,000 times based on statistical probabilities, with Florida winning almost 57 percent of the time by an average score of 39.1 to 36.4. Expect big things from Tebow, Bradford, Harvin and Chris Brown. Wait, they had to simulate the game 10,000 time to determine there's going to be a bunch of offense?

The New York Times has a roundup of media predictions, wherein nine of ten writers pick Florida to win, and all but one (Dennis Dodd, who guesses Florida 30, Oklahoma 20) think the Gators will score at least 35 points. The NYT has also rounded up mythical championship scouting reports from Lloyd Carr, Houston Nutt, Brian Kelly, Bo Pelini and Gary Pinkel, most of whom preach some variation on "Take care of the damn ball."

And Obama picks the Gators! But only if Percy Harvin is really healthy. He has no chance to carry Oklahoma in 2012, anyway, although he will have to face Phil Loadholt at the annual White House ceremony if the Sooners come through.

The Oklahoman has a game-by-game recap of the Sooners' season, and reports on the standard bet between Oklahoma and Florida governors. Not to take away from the Sunshine State's citrus exports, but Florida guv Charlie Crist stands to get the better end of that wager, trust me.

Meanwhile, in Florida, the Gainesville Sun's Pat Dooley advises readers to completely abandon their mental faculties when assessing tonight's game.

The Miami Herald reports on another dig against a Gator star by a member of Oklahoma's maligned secondary. Oh my god, wow, etc. The Herald also has some solid reporting on the impact for local merchandisers and a history of the Sooners in Miami, highlighted by the infamous Sooner Schooner penalty in the '85 Orange Bowl against Penn State.

Tim Tebow's high school coach tells the Orlando Sentinel he thinks the Tebow Child will be back for a senior season ("That's the way the book should end."). After all, he may be a star, but Tebow's still no Dwight Howard.

The Arizona Republic says quit your whining.

On the blogs, Swindle/Hall has been blogging the hell out of the scene in Miami, the lucky, credentialed bastard. ... Crimson and Cream Machine has your lengthy previews for the respective offensive and defensive matchups. ... Saurian Sagacity's Mergz (who does not believe in the "national championship") recalls how much he despised Ohio State fans in Glendale in 2006, while his colleague Scully expects a few wrinkles from the Gator offense. ... And while Team Speed Kills crunches the defensive numbers, Burnt Orange Nation is just hoping for a good, clean game in which Florida completely destroys Texas' arch nemesis. Nothing wrong with that.

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7 Comments

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  1. Aaron
    1. Posted by Aaron Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:47 pm EDT

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    1st! In your face!
  2. Aaron
    2. Posted by Aaron Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:47 pm EDT

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    ESPN's man crush on Tebow is sickening. Don't get me wrong, I'm not hating on Tebow, because if it wasn't for 7 billion other people on the planet, he'd be my best friend.
  3. squirrelyearl
    3. Posted by squirrelyearl Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:37 pm EDT

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    I would have thought that Texas would want OU to win since they use their victory over OU as their reasoning behind why they should have gone to the Big-XII championship. Seems like that strengthens their argument as potential national champions, versus if Florida wins they don't really have much standing.
  4. Dingus
    4. Posted by Dingus Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:35 pm EDT

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    You would think Texas fans would prefer OU winning by a small margin, but after the squeaker win in the Fiesta Bowl, they mostly just want to finish ahead of OU in the final poll. Besides, most Texas fans (some one say "true" fans) could never bring themselves to hope for an OU win, in any circumstance, even if it might make UT or the Big 12 look better.
  5. Theron
    5. Posted by Theron Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:05 pm EDT

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    WHAT A JOKE. I hope you following minions of a corrupt ncaa/bcs system enjoy your grand finale tonight. these ncaa players have had two months off, some playing in joke bowl games. during this time why can't we be playing a playoff system? a cpu came up with this match up? are you serious. these teams are good and one would probably emerge champion from a true playoff run, but get real. this is all about money. wonder what happens if a big ten team and a pac 10 go unbeaten in the regular season now? would they be playing in the rose bowl for a championship? NO! the cpu would select one loss teams from the sec and big 12 to fill the slot of their made up BCS title game. go back to the old system of having polls pick winners and let us debate the champion that way. you money whores would keep your worthless bowl games, and at least three to four teams can call themselves national champions. what a joke!
  6. Steve C
    6. Posted by Steve C Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:19 pm EDT

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    Texas fans should know in their genes by now that there is nothing ever to be gained from OU winning anything ever.
    In terms of this year alone, conventional wisdom has already discredited Texas' win over the Sooners as a mid-season fluke, noted Sam Bradford's season as clearly and significantly better than Colt McCoy's (some going so far as to saying Bradford was more accurate than McCoy), and that Texas has ultimately been just an afterthought this season, despite the Horns being a Blake Gideon dropped interception away from being Florida's sacrificial steer tonight.
    What does an OU win do for the Horns tonight? It doesn't change any of the above, it doesn't change people's opinion that Texas in reality failed against Ohio State in the Fiesta, and rejuvenates Bob Stoops' reputation as a big game coach and makes it even easier for him to recruit Texas athletes. It certainly won't mean that either OU, our conference mates, other fans or the media will develop a new-found respect for Texas. So none of that is to our benefit.
    So BON is right: Might as well root for humiliation of the Sooners. Go Gators.
  7. korn
    7. Posted by korn Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:43 pm EDT

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    Utah got screwed. bcs sucks. bc eagle fan

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