Thu Jun 18, 2009 5:36 pm EDT
Boise State is the winningest program in the nation this decade: The Broncos are 81 games over .500 since 2000. In this economy, though, they're hardly immune to the crunch: The BSU athletic department has already trimmed its budget and made a handful of staff cuts to come in under the bar for the coming fiscal year.
The financial issue is looming so large, in fact, that it may be about to affect that sparkling record:
Boise State likely will be more aggressive in pursuing “guarantee” football games — one-time road games against powerhouse programs for which the Broncos are paid handsomely. Athletic director Gene Bleymaier has sprinkled those into his schedule sparingly in the past but recognizes them as an easy way to increase revenue in tight times. The Broncos have openings in 2010 and 2011 that could be filled by that type of game.
[...]
"Right now, I’d go where I can make the most money," he said. "If I can play at home and make that much money, then I’m going to play at home. But it’s difficult to make that much money in our stadium size. … I’ve tried to avoid those (guarantee games). Now they’re much more of a reality going forward."
Regular readers may recognize Bleymaier as one of the anti-BCS members of the panel that went before Congress last month, when he lamented the fact that Boise had been snubbed by the BCS after undefeated seasons in 2004 and 2008 and shut out of the national championship proceedings when the unbeaten Broncos snuck into the Fiesta Bowl in 2006. The '04 and '06 teams both beat Oregon State on the blue turf; the Broncos won at Oregon to set up last year's perfect regular season.
I've always just assumed the heavy hitters were trying to duck Boise, because it's all risk and no reward -- win, and you're supposed to win; lose, and you lost to Boise. But why would Boise, ambitious as it obviously is, try to avoid the heavy hitters on the road?
Boise State Road Games vs. "Big Six" Conferences Since 2000
• 2000: at Arkansas ............. L, 31-38
• 2000: at Wash. State ......... L, 35-42
• 2001: at South Carolina ..... L, 13-32
• 2002: at Arkansas ............. L, 14-41
• 2003: at Oregon State ....... L, 24-26
• 2005: at Georgia ............... L, 13-48
• 2005: at Oregon State ....... L, 27-30
• 2007: at Washington .......... L, 10-24
• 2008: at Oregon ................ W, 37-32
I see. To deepen the hole a little further, Boise has also played two road games in that span against ranked opponents from the WAC, at Fresno State in 2005 and at BCS-bound Hawaii in 2007, and lost both by double digits. (I will leave it to Oregon fans in the comments to lament the Ducks' dismal quarterback situation during last year's loss in Eugene, but they'll also have to explain the 386 yards passing allowed by the Oregon secondary.)
But lest this be construed as some kind of broadside, let me dispel that: On the contrary, any effort to upgrade schedule strength -- even if it's entirely financially motivated -- is commendable, especially for a team with a resumé like Boise State's, which stands at this point in its development to cultivate an image as a roving mercenary taking on all comers to offset the burden of playing a string of WAC patsies. If the mid-major conferences really want to knock down the doors of the BCS, loading up on the most murderous possible non-conference schedule is the most plausible road to nirvana. Take Utah last year, with wins over Oregon State and Michigan: If the Wolverines had held up their end of the bargain for the rest of the season, the Utes probably would have played for the championship in Miami. That's bad luck, but good strategy: If you're going to go to Congress about your opportunity to play with the big boys, you have to make a conscious effort to play the big boys.
Of course, then you have to beat the big boys, which is where Fresno State's "Anyone Anytime Anywhere" schtick has consistently run aground, and where the Broncos have fallen short in the kind of payday games Bleymaier is looking for. Boise's future non-conference schedules are no joke, but on top of the WAC rabble, the scalps of Mountain West heavies and Pac-10 also-rans aren't going to do much where the BCS is concerned. As long as bigger games are going to become a priority, they might as well think really big.
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Hat tip: Blutarsky.
Dr. Saturday is a college football blog edited by Matt Hinton. Email him tips and feedback.

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27 Comments
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Oregon's defense is often underrated when you just look at the number of yards allowed. It becomes a heck of a lot clearer when you acknowledge that their defense was on the field for more downs than other unit in the country, by far.
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That doesn't explain why Boise was passing for more than 10 yards per attempt. You'd think that number would regress to the mean over the course of 36 attempts, but not against Oregon. (Credit where credit is due, after getting burned by USC Oregon held its last 7 opponents to under 7.4 ypa passing, so bully them. On the other hand, of those teams only Cal and Oklahoma State came in significantly below average, and you'd imagine a lot of that had to do with torrential downpours and receivers getting injured and quarterbacks getting wrecked on scrambles and whatnot. So basically yeah, your secondary is screwed.)
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The loss at Washington was once again turned by Pac-10 officials ... Boise returned a kickoff for a TD in the first half which would have changed the momentum of the game ... the alleged illegal block was 5-7 yds BEHIND the returner and was questionable at best ...
One of the two losses at Oregon State had a fourth down play late that cost BSU possession that the Pac-10 office apologized saying it was a bad call ...
BSU's talent has improved since 2005 but the major difference is depth ... BSU now has athletes and DEPTH on par with the middle of the road teams in the BCS conferences. Lack of depth is usually the killer to non-BCS programs when they play the big boys ...
And the losses to Fresno and UH ... in 2008 the way UH played in the Islands with a BCS game on the line there were very few teams in CFB that could have won in Honolulu that nite ... the 2005 loss to FSU was in a quagmire ... and the author leaves out the 2003 game at FSU when the Broncos defeated ON THE ROAD the #8 ranked Bulldogs with future NFL QB David Carr and five or six other draftees on the field ...
September 3 will be another statement game .... the Ducks are going down ... hard ....
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You think the win over OU was a fluke ... ???
17 or 18 players off that 2006 roster made it to NFL camps ... five have stuck ... and four or five more have a chance this year ... and soon-to-be All-merican CB/PR Kyle Wilson is a lock to move to the NFL in 2010 ... He is one of only five seniors on the BSU roster this season ... two starters and three reserves ....
Let's see what Big Boys have the cojones (and a spare million lying around) to take on the Broncos in 2010 and 2011 ....
The writer is correct ... playing BSU is kinda no-win situation for BCS schools .... kudos to the Ducks ...
And the other non-BCS darling -- UTAH .... they got their butts kicked 36-3 by the Broncos IN SALT LAKE CITY on our last visit in 2006 ....
And TCU's one-pt win over BSU in the Poinsettia Bowl last December was the FIRST AND ONLY win by the Mountain West Conference over Boise State since BSU became a D-1 member barely more than 10 years ago ...
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That's why they can get the Pac-10's soft middle and bottom-tier teams.....those places don't draw fans all that well, compared to the Big Ten, SEC, and Big XII teams.
If Boise State wants those games, they've got to travel like FSU and Miami did 30 years ago.......play without the return game, and earn your place. They haven't done it yet.
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Here is a hint, doesn't matter if the illegal block was behind the play it's still illegal. Just means it's a bone headed block instead of just a stupid one.
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BTW, Clint T, if Boise was in the PAC-10. The only close games would be Oregon and Oregon St. I dont think they can beat USC, but they would stomp every other PAC-10 team.
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Conference (Boise record vs): Opponent with year - Result
Big 12 (1-0): Iowa St in 2000 - Boise Win
Pac-10 (2-1): Oregon St in 2006 - Boise Win; Oregon St in 2004 - Boise Win; Washington St in 2001 - Boise Loss
Boise has not played any other BCS Conference teams IN BOISE.
Overall, Boise is 3-1 against BCS teams playing in Boise. So, I wouldn't agree that Boise can't compete with a BCS team. They just can't play on the road. Then again, we did beat Oregon IN Eugene.
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