Dr. Saturday - NCAAF

Now in its fifth year, the Blog Poll is a weekly effort of dozens of college football-centric Web sites representing a wide array of schools under the oversight of founder/manager/guru Brian Cook at MGoBlog, and now appears on CBS Sportsline. It’s an effort to provide a more rigorous check on the mainstream polls that actually, like, count toward the mythical championship, and enthusiastically shines a light on its voters' biases. But mainly, it’s fun. 

Functional byes and actual byes throughout the top 10 last weekend means static in the upper reaches, and nefarious scheming for the sake of keeping things interesting. With three wins over ranked teams and seven over opponents currently sporting a winning record, Alabama remains the clear-cut No. 1, albeit not by a wide margin. I was tempted to move TCU into the No. 2 slot this week, though, just to shake things up a little, and because the Frogs have made a pretty good case for themselves -- about as good as Texas and Florida, anyway, which have one win apiece over a ranked team (TCU has three) and even nearly identical strengths of schedule according to Jeff Sagarin (see resumé chart below the jump). It would be a bold, provocative and largely defensible move.

It would also be fairly arbitrary. Two of TCU's three wins over ranked teams are against conference-mates BYU and Utah, which have won the games they should win against the lesser reaches of the MWC and not much else outside of getting their heads handed to them by the Frogs; beating he Cougars and Utes certainly doesn't seem much more valuable than Texas' second and third-best wins behind Oklahoma State (Texas Tech and Missouri, respectively) or even Florida's wins over Arkansas and Kentucky with both teams moving to 7-4 last week. With awful New Mexico destined to drag down the strength of schedule in this weekend's finale, the Frogs won't be leaping anyone barring an extreme calamity in front of them.

Going Coastal. The ACC and Pac-10 account for 11 of this week's top 25, as many as the other four "Big Six" conferences combined, and hold down the second half of the poll with gusto, represented in nine of the bottom dozen slots. That's what you get when you have a solid cluster of similar teams that all play one another and no truly dominating frontrunners like the teams out in front of the SEC, Big 12 and Big East. Of course, you have no powerhouse poster child to wave the league's championship flag, either, but those are the sacrifices one must make for depth. Respect the depth. 

On a related note, sorry if I'm not harsh enough on USC for failing to deliver a recognizably USC-like performance in over a month -- I'm much kinder to the Trojans at No. 14 than any of the other human polls, which don't see fit to put SC inside the top 20 after the awful blowouts at the hands of Oregon and Stanford, with a lackluster effort at Arizona State sandwiched in between -- but the Trojans' top four wins (at Ohio State, at Cal, at Notre Dame and against Oregon State) probably make up the best quartet of trophies in the country; the only competition might come from Georgia Tech, Oregon or maybe Alabama. Considering its wins over both of the other three-loss teams in the conference, Cal and Oregon State, and the upcoming date with Arizona, it's no surprise that SC is still technically alive for a BCS berth as the Pac-10's No. 2 team. They're not going to get that bid, obviously, but the overall resumé in L.A. remains more impressive than the recent slide suggests.

. Penn State finishes the regular season with a marquee win over Northwestern, the only victim on the Lions' resumé with a winning record outside of Temple. Yes, Temple, still vying for an undefeated season in MAC play, now passes for a "quality win" in Happy Valley -- and still, I can't see fit to drop PSU below No. 12. Never underestimate the power of winning the ones you're supposed to. (Unless you happen to be Boise State or TCU, in which case you can get bent as far as the suits that run the big-money games are concerned.)

As always, everything will complete different next week. Full resumé chart for the record:

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9 Comments

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  1. Brian B
    1. Posted by Brian B Wed Nov 25, 2009 3:01 pm EST

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    If you examine the complete poll by the Docs links, you will notice that someone in the poll actually voted for Syracuse (4-7). Now there are two contributors who identify themselves as Syracuse homers. Wow!!! No hope of this poll gaining more credibility than the Harris poll with that kind of absurd homerism.
    If only all the ballots were as thoughtful as the good Doctor's.
  2. MikeLew
    2. Posted by MikeLew Wed Nov 25, 2009 4:54 pm EST

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    Ohio State and Oregon are just about as close as can be for #8 and #9....OSU has a slightly better margin of victory, slightly higher strength of schedule, slightly lower opponents' winning percentage, equivalent losses and wins
  3. genius_man16
    3. Posted by genius_man16 Wed Nov 25, 2009 5:09 pm EST

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    "...but the Trojans' top four wins (at Ohio State, at Cal, at Notre Dame and against Oregon State) probably make up the best quartet of trophies in the country..."
    That's a joke right? Notre Dame still counts as an "impressive" victory? Jeeze Matt. Stop smokin the 420. I could accept it if you had left ND out, but don't insult my intelligence and expect me to take you seriously when you think Notre Dame is somehow an impressive "trophy".
  4. A!
    4. Posted by A! Wed Nov 25, 2009 6:10 pm EST

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    Not that it matters for the Mythical Championship game, but:
    -USC is he only team with 3 wins vs top 15 teams in this poll
    -Ga Tech is next best wth 3 wins vs top 20 teams
    Florida has ONE win vs a team in the poll... same as Boise
  5. CuseFanInSoCal
    5. Posted by CuseFanInSoCal Thu Nov 26, 2009 1:48 am EST

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    Well, I know TNIAAM din't vote for us (because hey, we're 4-7), and neither did the guy with the Football Outsiders vote. And I cna't see Orange 44 doing it either.
    Now, in the basketball poll, that's another story. I think TNIAAM is going to get us Coulter/Kos'd by voting us #1 (which is a reasonable resume vote, but still a bit high).
  6. Mike J
    6. Posted by Mike J Thu Nov 26, 2009 6:01 am EST

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    The top five teams are about right, give or take a little. But how does a team that beats only one decent opponent, comes from a conference that is 48 and 50 get into the top ten!? Boise State is the most overrated team I have ever seen. I know that they have blown away their competition, but there are high school teams that could beat Miami (OH), San Jose State, or Utah State. In fact as of Nov.22 2009, the opposing teams teams on Boise States schedule is 63 wins and 80 losses. They have one of the easiest schedules in the NCAA; yet they are ranked # 6 in the polls. That gives me reason to state I have lost respect for the polls, the BCS, and the sytem in general.
  7. zibby
    7. Posted by zibby Thu Nov 26, 2009 6:46 am EST

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    Brian at Orange:44 did put SU at #25 in his poll.
    I don't think Sean at TNIAAM posted his poll.
  8. bobby
    8. Posted by bobby Fri Nov 27, 2009 2:06 am EST

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    #6 mike bsu being number 6 in the polls is the voters way of protesting the bcs. it has nothing to do them deserving the vote it is just so they can bash the bcs because an unbeaten team is not going to get a bcs game and the millions that go with it.
  9. Ronald
    9. Posted by Ronald Sat Nov 28, 2009 9:19 pm EST

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    Matt,
    "Two of TCU's three wins over ranked teams are against conference-mates BYU and Utah, which have won the games they should win against the lesser reaches of the MWC and not much else"
    and
    "I can't see fit to drop PSU below No. 12. Never underestimate the power of winning the ones you're supposed to."
    seem pretty inconsistent. I'm not going to argue PSU shouldn't be ranked higher than BYU/Utah, but your inconsistent application of the same point shows some bias, and you should either drop PSU a bit or raise BYU/Utah up a bit -- depending upon which of your statements you really believe.

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