Sun Nov 23, 2008 10:00 pm EST

In a perfect world, the Doc would be given carte blanche to publicly torch the Bowl Championship Series in effigy and institute the elaborate, double-elimination battle royale of his dreams. But we live in the world we live in, so each Sunday the Doc looks instead at what the new BCS numbers mean for the rest of the season. Rooting interest: chaos. Always chaos.
First of all, what's up with the computers? Utah and Texas Tech remain ahead of Florida and Southern Cal? Only one of the machines has Florida in its top four, and five of six have the Trojans ranked seventh or lower. Meanwhile, five of six still have Texas Tech in the top five, and Jeff Sagarin's "ELO-CHESS" rating -- the one he's forced to submit to fit BCS rules, rather than the "real" rating he honed for years -- still ranks Texas Tech ahead of Oklahoma, as does Peter Wolfe. This is the kind of absurdity that results when you withhold information: If the computers were allowed to take into account margin of victory instead of treating every win as exactly the same, those algorithms would make infinitely more sense (the poll Sagarin would submit if he could has Oklahoma No. 2 and Tech fourth).
Secondly, Oklahoma's emphatic expulsion of the Raiders from the ranks of the unbeaten guarantees this, at least: Somebody is getting screwed. Probably several somebodies. In the Big 12 South, either Oklahoma or Texas -- along with their presumptive co-champion, suddenly left for dead -- will get jobbed as early as next week, when, barring a huge upset, often inscrutable pollsters and even more inscrutable algorithms will pluck one to make its final argument in the Big 12 Championship while leaving the others for no good reason at all. USC, Utah and Penn State won't even get that opportunity.
We shouldn't be having any of these circular, dead end arguments, because there's not enough difference among any members of that group based on their accomplishments to logically justify excluding any of them. But among the half-dozen teams that will still have a legitimate championship claim after Dec. 6, only two will go on to the so-called championship game. If your team's not among that pair, yes, y'all got screwed. If your team is among that pair, you're lucky the screwjob worked in your favor. There's no way to be right or wrong about it. So either way, whatever happens over the last two weeks, accept your fate like a man. Somebody's getting screwed, and it might as well be you.
Sitting pretty. Florida and Alabama remain on a collision course for the biggest conference championship game in history, and they're the only two teams on the board who are definitely locked into one of the top two spots if they win out.
After that, we got us a fine bit of Big 12 South chaos, which is still wild enough, technically, to open the door to any of the teams currently ranked in spots 2 through 7 (yes, even Texas Tech; see below). I think the scenario can get complicated enough there to make voters throw up their hands and run screaming into the big, rippling arms of USC, but if I was a betting man, I'd stick with the story I've been peddling for the last two weeks: Oklahoma will beat Oklahoma State next week, hop Texas and go on to the Big 12 Championship. OU remains behind Texas this week because of the computers -- obviously, the humans were impressed enough by Saturday's obliteration to dismiss UT's win in the Cotton Bowl in October, and I have no problem with that -- but the strength of schedule boost in beating the Cowboys, while Texas plays Texas A&M, should push the Sooners up to No. 2 next Sunday.
So in my mind, Oklahoma controls its own destiny. If Oklahoma State manages to beat OU, though, that's when it gets really interesting.
A little help? For a team now known best for getting its head handed to it on national television in late November, I actually think Texas Tech is still alive with the Cowboy upset on Saturday: Assuming Tech beats Baylor, a second Sooner loss in-conference would put the Raiders back in a two-way tie for the South title with Texas, which Tech would win as a result of the head-to-head win over the Horns earlier this month. If they can get to the Big 12 Championship and beat Missouri, voters will have an awfully difficult time justifying passing up the 12-1, conference champion Raiders for a runner-up, 11-1 Texas outfit that they defeated in the regular season. Or so Tech hopes.
I maintain, then, that Texas is on the outside looking in. If Oklahoma wins again in even remotely convincing fashion, the computers are going to have to spit out one hell of an equation that keeps the Horns at No. 2.
For chaos' sake. The specter of ridiculous upsets always looms -- imagine the potential ripple effects of Auburn over Alabama, Florida State over Florida, Texas A&M over Texas or UCLA/Notre Dame over USC -- but the most realistic chance at complete meltdown is a Missouri win in the Big 12 Championship. Combined with Oregon State's pending Pac-10 championship, a Tiger win in K.C. would basically guarantee the second member of the mythical championship game across from the SEC champion will be an at-large selection, either Texas, Oklahoma, USC or, in an extreme case, Utah. There is no way to make this process "right," but Mizzou is in the best position to guarantee that it goes really wrong.
Dr. Saturday is a college football blog edited by Matt Hinton. Email him tips and feedback.

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296 Comments
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If Florida loses to FSU and beats Alabama, then it seems extremely likely that USC ends up in the title game, but it will probably be because the pollsters set up their votes to prevent a Big 12 South rematch; the computers will probably be screaming for an Oklahoma/Texas rematch.
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I'm fairly confident that the team who ends up winning it all will have very few arguments against them as national champ (other than the half-hearted "What now?"s from an undefeated Utah/Boise/Ball State).
Okay, a four-team playoff might be permissible.
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And Hinton still looks like a pedophile.
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We need a playoff because of this. It complete and utter bull to have Texas Tech be completely humiliated and still ahead of both USC and Florida in the Computer polls... Both these teams were within a touchdown of winning, granted that they both lost to lower class teams, but as the seasons progressed... they've turned out to be better than people thought. Oregon State has a chance to be co-champions of the PAC 10 and Ole Miss turned out to be # 2 in the SEC West... ahead of last year's champions LSU.
Where is Obama when you need him?
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TEXAS beat ou and
every team w class pulls their starters!
usc is not the only team to do so...
HOOK EM HORNS!
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I'm a little surprised how much the computers hate Florida and USC. Florida will be all right if it wins out, but USC would need a miracle to get to the championship.
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And Georgia was the SEC East co-champ last year, and finished with the same conference record as LSU. That mattered all of...nothing.
If Oregon State beats Oregon, USC shouldn't play for the national title. The precedent has been set; now ESPN and other Trojan stenographers have to deal with it.
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Winning your conference is not a prerequisite for playing in the title game. In 2001 (Nebraska) and 2003 (Oklahoma) teams got there without winning their conferences.
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As you probably failed to read, the precedent for a conference co-champ playing in the BCS title game was set when Ohio State and Iowa were Big Ten co-champs in 2002 -- and the Buckeyes beat Miami for the BCS title.
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