Dr. Saturday - NCAAF

Round and round she goes, where the ball stops, nobody knows ...

This week's bet. Georgia Tech. I effectively declared this feature dead last week, so certain was I that Virginia Tech had the Coastal Division in a firm sleeper hold it could tighten right on out to the end. I actually wrote, "I'm not sure I can keep up the 'chaos' meme," days before the Hokies lose to Boston College, similarly reliable Wake Forest bites it hard against Maryland and I'm casting the conference as a surrealist spider web. Georgia Tech now owns the league's longest winning streak and assumes a half-game lead in the race to a half-empty stadium in Charlotte Tampa.

Let 'em Ride.Statistically, the Jackets are the most complete team in the conference, not only leading the ACC in rushing -- which you'd expect behind Paul Johnson's flexbone, still producing about 50 runs per game to a dozen passes -- but also in pass efficiency, which you would not expect, especially with two extremely young, run-oriented quarterbacks pulling the trigger on most of those throws. The defense is in the top 20 nationally in every defensive category, and in the top six in pass efficiency, total and scoring D; it's also the best in the country in tackles for loss and the top pass-rushing defense in the ACC. The pressure was always attributed to ex-coordinator Jon Tenuta's aggressive, heavy-blitzing style, but it certainly hasn't followed him to Notre Dame, while the Jackets still thrive in opposing backfields.

Tech wiped out potential upstarts Mississippi State and Duke, came from behind to win tight, tough road games against equals Boston College and Clemson, and Paul Johnson is right on track for all that coach of the year stuff. This has probably been the ACC's best team through the first two months, gimmicky offense, injured quarterbacks and all.

Bet the Field. By virtue of their loss in Blacksburg, the Jackets still need another Virginia Tech loss to offset the tiebreaker, even they were to run to the table. And by virtue of appearing here, Tech is doomed to defeat Saturday against Virginia, the suddenly hot outfit jockeying with Maryland for title of "Most Bizarro Team" in the nation's most bizarro conference -- every other team featured in "Championship Roulette" to date has lost within two weeks of looking like the surest bet. Tech's offense has gone through a revolving door of banged-up quarterbacks already, bogged down the last two weeks, and barely squeaking by Gardner-Webb, especially, was a baffling disappointment. What kind of team plays two I-AA cupcakes in the same year, anyway?

Payout. 10-to-1. Based on my actual respect for the way Tech has played to date, it would be a better number, but any team that needs help and still has to beat Florida State, North Carolina and Miami is wishing. Coincidentally, this is also the ratio on campus. Shame, dude.

- - -
â¨Previously on ACC Championship Roulette: North Carolina, Virginia Tech, Maryland and Virginia Tech again.

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21 Comments

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  1. www.TomahawkNation.com
    1. Posted by www.TomahawkNation.com Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:15 pm EDT

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    The ACCCG is in Tampa this year, not Charlotte.
  2. Rob D
    2. Posted by Rob D Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:45 pm EDT

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    which means it'll be more like 1/10 full stadium instead of half
  3. Jeremy R
    3. Posted by Jeremy R Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:33 pm EDT

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    Georgia Tech plays 2 I-AA teams this year because Army backed out of playing them this year. Since GT's schedule is cemented until around 2015, it would was impossible to schedule a home and home series.
  4. bluelightning11
    4. Posted by bluelightning11 Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:09 pm EDT

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    Florida St. and Clemson have already done it too. That's shameful for the whole league, 3 teams with two 1-AA's on the schedule
  5. Rob D
    5. Posted by Rob D Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:45 pm EDT

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    Clemson ran into the same problem with UCF backing out and has two 1-AA's on the schedule, which may end up costing them a bowl game. FSU also plays two 1-AA's - not sure what their excuse is.
  6. gtne91
    6. Posted by gtne91 Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:43 pm EDT

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    Someone backed out on FSU also, I forget who.
    BTW, Ole Miss is apparently trying to "delay" the series with GT in 2010 and 2011. My understanding is Nutt wants to "delay" it until either he or Johnson has moved on.
  7. gtne91
    7. Posted by gtne91 Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:43 pm EDT

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    Wasnt Navy under Johnson regularly one of the nation's leader in pass efficiency? So why is that unexpected?
  8. gtne91
    8. Posted by gtne91 Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:43 pm EDT

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    The ratio video was just a little bit too accurate. The gtgs have it good, Tech is over 30% female now, it was between 20 and 25 when I was there 87-91.
  9. Uncle Grandfather
    9. Posted by Uncle Grandfather Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:59 pm EDT

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    Go Jackets and go seminoles we need those hokies to lose
  10. gatorhead
    10. Posted by gatorhead Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:20 pm EDT

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    um...half empty stadium in TAMPA.
  11. Ted VIII
    11. Posted by Ted VIII Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:36 pm EDT

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    you know what the ladies at tech say about the ratio? the odds are good, but the goods are odd.
  12. Alaska Hokie
    12. Posted by Alaska Hokie Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:36 pm EDT

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    Bad form, ThomasT. You almost make me want to root for Georgia in retaliation. But I don't think they need the help.
  13. ol ball coach
    13. Posted by ol ball coach Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:43 pm EDT

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    The ACC may be weak but it is still up for grabs, who wants it?
  14. ol ball coach
    14. Posted by ol ball coach Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:43 pm EDT

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    Lets face it, the ACC will never be in a BCS, this Basketball curtain has overshadowed football a long time.
  15. ol ball coach
    15. Posted by ol ball coach Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:43 pm EDT

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    Lets face it, the ACC will never be in a BCS, this Basketball curtain has overshadowed football a long time.
  16. habib
    16. Posted by habib Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:03 pm EDT

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    Florida state is sneaking up on everyone. that good low profile
  17. thelegacyx4
    17. Posted by thelegacyx4 Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:04 pm EDT

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    How many times do we have to convince people that we did not originally schedule two D1-AA opponents?!
  18. ralo!
    18. Posted by ralo! Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:42 pm EDT

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    How is the offense "gimmicky"? It's not like Johnson pulls out the option once or twice a game.
  19. Thor
    19. Posted by Thor Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:08 pm EDT

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    If UNC drops their game this week to BC or next week to GT UM controls it's own destiny and should FSU win it all on the other side or BC win the Atlantic. I doubt Tampa will be a half full stadium. Too many fans in central FL that like both those teams to let that opportunity go by of being in a seat for that game.
  20. CuseFanInSoCal
    20. Posted by CuseFanInSoCal Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:48 pm EDT

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    Whatever. It's still bush league to play the ACC championship game in a Big East team's home stadium, especially when the next-closest BCS school is an SEC team (Florida), not an ACC team (FSU or Miami).
  21. shadowdog87
    21. Posted by shadowdog87 Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:15 pm EDT

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    "Georgia Tech plays 2 I-AA teams this year because Army backed out of playing them this year. Since GT's schedule is cemented until around 2015, it would was impossible to schedule a home and home series." - more so than that, every FBS school already had its schedule set in stone for the year.

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